Crawford Company Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.75

CRD-B Stock  USD 10.98  0.05  0.46%   
Crawford's future price is the expected price of Crawford instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Crawford Company performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Crawford Backtesting, Crawford Valuation, Crawford Correlation, Crawford Hype Analysis, Crawford Volatility, Crawford History as well as Crawford Performance.
  
At present, Crawford's Price To Sales Ratio is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is expected to grow to 10.06, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is forecasted to decline to 19.24. Please specify Crawford's target price for which you would like Crawford odds to be computed.

Crawford Target Price Odds to finish below 10.75

The tendency of Crawford Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 10.75  or more in 90 days
 10.98 90 days 10.75 
about 23.99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Crawford to drop to $ 10.75  or more in 90 days from now is about 23.99 (This Crawford Company probability density function shows the probability of Crawford Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Crawford price to stay between $ 10.75  and its current price of $10.98 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.32 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.26 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Crawford will likely underperform. Additionally Crawford Company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Crawford Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Crawford

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Crawford. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.6011.0213.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.3411.7614.18
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
11.3812.5013.88
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.210.210.21
Details

Crawford Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Crawford is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Crawford's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Crawford Company, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Crawford within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.26
σ
Overall volatility
0.50
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Crawford Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Crawford for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Crawford can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Crawford has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 68.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from nypost.com: Ex-Knick Jamal Crawford excited to be Clyde Fraziers sub on MSG

Crawford Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Crawford Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Crawford's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Crawford's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding49.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments58.4 M

Crawford Technical Analysis

Crawford's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Crawford Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Crawford Company. In general, you should focus on analyzing Crawford Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Crawford Predictive Forecast Models

Crawford's time-series forecasting models is one of many Crawford's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Crawford's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Crawford

Checking the ongoing alerts about Crawford for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Crawford help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Crawford has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 68.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from nypost.com: Ex-Knick Jamal Crawford excited to be Clyde Fraziers sub on MSG

Other Information on Investing in Crawford Stock

Crawford financial ratios help investors to determine whether Crawford Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Crawford with respect to the benefits of owning Crawford security.