Critical Elements Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.99
| CRECF Stock | USD 0.29 0.01 3.33% |
Critical |
Critical Elements Target Price Odds to finish below 0.99
The tendency of Critical OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 0.99 after 90 days |
| 0.29 | 90 days | 0.99 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Critical Elements to stay under $ 0.99 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Critical Elements probability density function shows the probability of Critical OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Critical Elements price to stay between its current price of $ 0.29 and $ 0.99 at the end of the 90-day period is about 81.94 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Critical Elements has a beta of 0.53 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Critical Elements average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Critical Elements will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Critical Elements has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Critical Elements Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Critical Elements
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Critical Elements. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Critical Elements' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Critical Elements Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Critical Elements is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Critical Elements' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Critical Elements, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Critical Elements within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.53 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Critical Elements Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Critical Elements for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Critical Elements can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Critical Elements had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Critical Elements has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Net Loss for the year was (6.42 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Critical Elements has accumulated about 33.71 M in cash with (6.01 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.16. |
Critical Elements Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Critical OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Critical Elements' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Critical Elements' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 213.1 M |
Critical Elements Technical Analysis
Critical Elements' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Critical OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Critical Elements. In general, you should focus on analyzing Critical OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Critical Elements Predictive Forecast Models
Critical Elements' time-series forecasting models is one of many Critical Elements' otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Critical Elements' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Critical Elements
Checking the ongoing alerts about Critical Elements for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Critical Elements help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Critical Elements had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Critical Elements has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Net Loss for the year was (6.42 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Critical Elements has accumulated about 33.71 M in cash with (6.01 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.16. |
Other Information on Investing in Critical OTC Stock
Critical Elements financial ratios help investors to determine whether Critical OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Critical with respect to the benefits of owning Critical Elements security.