Cresud Sacif Y Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.47

CRESW Stock  USD 1.20  0.02  1.64%   
Cresud SACIF's future price is the expected price of Cresud SACIF instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Cresud SACIF y performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Cresud SACIF Backtesting, Cresud SACIF Valuation, Cresud SACIF Correlation, Cresud SACIF Hype Analysis, Cresud SACIF Volatility, Cresud SACIF History as well as Cresud SACIF Performance.
  
At this time, Cresud SACIF's Price Earnings Ratio is fairly stable compared to the past year. Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to climb to 0.11 in 2024, whereas Price Book Value Ratio is likely to drop 0.63 in 2024. Please specify Cresud SACIF's target price for which you would like Cresud SACIF odds to be computed.

Cresud SACIF Target Price Odds to finish below 0.47

The tendency of Cresud Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.47  or more in 90 days
 1.20 90 days 0.47 
about 13.72
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cresud SACIF to drop to $ 0.47  or more in 90 days from now is about 13.72 (This Cresud SACIF y probability density function shows the probability of Cresud Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cresud SACIF y price to stay between $ 0.47  and its current price of $1.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 84.94 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Cresud SACIF y has a beta of -1.46 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Cresud SACIF y are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Cresud SACIF is expected to outperform its benchmark. Moreover Cresud SACIF y has an alpha of 1.8614, implying that it can generate a 1.86 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Cresud SACIF Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cresud SACIF

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cresud SACIF y. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cresud SACIF's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.448.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.050.917.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.021.218.11
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.380.811.24
Details

Cresud SACIF Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cresud SACIF is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cresud SACIF's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cresud SACIF y, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cresud SACIF within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.86
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.46
σ
Overall volatility
0.22
Ir
Information ratio 0.24

Cresud SACIF Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cresud SACIF for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cresud SACIF y can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cresud SACIF y is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Cresud SACIF y may become a speculative penny stock
Cresud SACIF y appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Cresud SACIF y has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Latest headline from news.google.com: Cresud SACIF y A Shares Up 4.61 percent on Nov 26 - GuruFocus.com

Cresud SACIF Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cresud Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cresud SACIF's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cresud SACIF's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding59.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments260.7 B

Cresud SACIF Technical Analysis

Cresud SACIF's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cresud Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cresud SACIF y. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cresud Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Cresud SACIF Predictive Forecast Models

Cresud SACIF's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cresud SACIF's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cresud SACIF's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Cresud SACIF y

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cresud SACIF for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cresud SACIF y help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cresud SACIF y is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Cresud SACIF y may become a speculative penny stock
Cresud SACIF y appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Cresud SACIF y has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Latest headline from news.google.com: Cresud SACIF y A Shares Up 4.61 percent on Nov 26 - GuruFocus.com

Additional Tools for Cresud Stock Analysis

When running Cresud SACIF's price analysis, check to measure Cresud SACIF's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cresud SACIF is operating at the current time. Most of Cresud SACIF's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cresud SACIF's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cresud SACIF's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cresud SACIF to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.