Cresud Sacif Y Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.48
| CRESY Stock | USD 11.37 0.13 1.16% |
Cresud |
Cresud SACIF Target Price Odds to finish below 4.48
The tendency of Cresud Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 4.48 or more in 90 days |
| 11.37 | 90 days | 4.48 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cresud SACIF to drop to $ 4.48 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Cresud SACIF y probability density function shows the probability of Cresud Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cresud SACIF y price to stay between $ 4.48 and its current price of $11.37 at the end of the 90-day period is about 99.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Cresud SACIF has a beta of 0.38 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Cresud SACIF average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cresud SACIF y will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cresud SACIF y has an alpha of 0.5918, implying that it can generate a 0.59 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Cresud SACIF Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Cresud SACIF
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cresud SACIF y. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cresud SACIF's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Cresud SACIF Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cresud SACIF is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cresud SACIF's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cresud SACIF y, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cresud SACIF within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.59 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.92 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.23 |
Cresud SACIF Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cresud SACIF for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cresud SACIF y can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Cresud SACIF y has accumulated 902.31 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.73, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Cresud SACIF y has a current ratio of 0.75, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Note, when we think about Cresud SACIF's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Cresud SACIF y A Shares Up 3.24 percent on Nov 19 |
Cresud SACIF Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cresud Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cresud SACIF's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cresud SACIF's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 77.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 260.7 B |
Cresud SACIF Technical Analysis
Cresud SACIF's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cresud Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cresud SACIF y. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cresud Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cresud SACIF Predictive Forecast Models
Cresud SACIF's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cresud SACIF's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cresud SACIF's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Cresud SACIF y
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cresud SACIF for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cresud SACIF y help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Cresud SACIF y has accumulated 902.31 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.73, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Cresud SACIF y has a current ratio of 0.75, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Note, when we think about Cresud SACIF's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Cresud SACIF y A Shares Up 3.24 percent on Nov 19 |
Additional Tools for Cresud Stock Analysis
When running Cresud SACIF's price analysis, check to measure Cresud SACIF's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cresud SACIF is operating at the current time. Most of Cresud SACIF's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cresud SACIF's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cresud SACIF's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cresud SACIF to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.