Creotech Instruments (Poland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 146.0
| CRI Stock | 144.00 2.00 1.37% |
Creotech |
Creotech Instruments Target Price Odds to finish below 146.0
The tendency of Creotech Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 146.00 after 90 days |
| 144.00 | 90 days | 146.00 | about 28.71 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Creotech Instruments to stay under 146.00 after 90 days from now is about 28.71 (This Creotech Instruments SA probability density function shows the probability of Creotech Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Creotech Instruments price to stay between its current price of 144.00 and 146.00 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Creotech Instruments SA has a beta of -0.21 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Creotech Instruments are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Creotech Instruments SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Creotech Instruments SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Creotech Instruments Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Creotech Instruments
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Creotech Instruments. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Creotech Instruments' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Creotech Instruments Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Creotech Instruments is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Creotech Instruments' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Creotech Instruments SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Creotech Instruments within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.26 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 20.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Creotech Instruments Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Creotech Instruments for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Creotech Instruments can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Creotech Instruments generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Creotech Instruments has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Creotech Instruments generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 49.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Creotech Instruments Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Creotech Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Creotech Instruments' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Creotech Instruments' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.6 M |
Creotech Instruments Technical Analysis
Creotech Instruments' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Creotech Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Creotech Instruments SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Creotech Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Creotech Instruments Predictive Forecast Models
Creotech Instruments' time-series forecasting models is one of many Creotech Instruments' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Creotech Instruments' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Creotech Instruments
Checking the ongoing alerts about Creotech Instruments for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Creotech Instruments help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Creotech Instruments generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Creotech Instruments has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Creotech Instruments generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 49.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Creotech Stock Analysis
When running Creotech Instruments' price analysis, check to measure Creotech Instruments' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Creotech Instruments is operating at the current time. Most of Creotech Instruments' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Creotech Instruments' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Creotech Instruments' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Creotech Instruments to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.