Crm Longshort Opport Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 13.34

CRIHX Fund  USD 14.03  0.14  0.99%   
Crm Long/short's future price is the expected price of Crm Long/short instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Crm Longshort Opport performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Crm Long/short Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Crm Long/short Correlation, Crm Long/short Hype Analysis, Crm Long/short Volatility, Crm Long/short History as well as Crm Long/short Performance.
  
Please specify Crm Long/short's target price for which you would like Crm Long/short odds to be computed.

Crm Long/short Target Price Odds to finish below 13.34

The tendency of Crm Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 13.34  or more in 90 days
 14.03 90 days 13.34 
about 9.87
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Crm Long/short to drop to $ 13.34  or more in 90 days from now is about 9.87 (This Crm Longshort Opport probability density function shows the probability of Crm Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Crm Longshort Opport price to stay between $ 13.34  and its current price of $14.03 at the end of the 90-day period is about 86.72 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Crm Long/short has a beta of 0.0461 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Crm Long/short average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Crm Longshort Opport will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Crm Longshort Opport has an alpha of 0.0612, implying that it can generate a 0.0612 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Crm Long/short Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Crm Long/short

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Crm Longshort Opport. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.4914.0314.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.4113.9514.49
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.3413.8814.42
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.9414.0814.21
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Crm Long/short. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Crm Long/short's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Crm Long/short's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Crm Longshort Opport.

Crm Long/short Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Crm Long/short is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Crm Long/short's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Crm Longshort Opport, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Crm Long/short within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.22
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Crm Long/short Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Crm Long/short for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Crm Longshort Opport can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 26.69% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Crm Long/short Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Crm Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Crm Long/short's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Crm Long/short's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Crm Long/short Technical Analysis

Crm Long/short's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Crm Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Crm Longshort Opport. In general, you should focus on analyzing Crm Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Crm Long/short Predictive Forecast Models

Crm Long/short's time-series forecasting models is one of many Crm Long/short's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Crm Long/short's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Crm Longshort Opport

Checking the ongoing alerts about Crm Long/short for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Crm Longshort Opport help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 26.69% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in Crm Mutual Fund

Crm Long/short financial ratios help investors to determine whether Crm Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Crm with respect to the benefits of owning Crm Long/short security.
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