Optica Rare Earths Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 18.49

CRIT Etf  USD 18.26  0.21  1.16%   
Optica Rare's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Optica Rare Earths. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Optica Rare based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Optica Rare Earths over a specific time period. For example, CRIT Option Call 17-01-2025 20 is a CALL option contract on Optica Rare's common stock with a strick price of 20.0 expiring on 2025-01-17. The contract was last traded on 2024-10-11 at 14:07:29 for $2.35 and, as of today, has 47 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at an ask price of $1.6. The implied volatility as of the 1st of December is 47.0. View All Optica options

Closest to current price Optica long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Optica Rare's future price is the expected price of Optica Rare instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Optica Rare Earths performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Optica Rare Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Optica Rare Correlation, Optica Rare Hype Analysis, Optica Rare Volatility, Optica Rare History as well as Optica Rare Performance.
  
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Optica Rare Target Price Odds to finish over 18.49

The tendency of Optica Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 18.49  or more in 90 days
 18.26 90 days 18.49 
about 42.14
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Optica Rare to move over $ 18.49  or more in 90 days from now is about 42.14 (This Optica Rare Earths probability density function shows the probability of Optica Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Optica Rare Earths price to stay between its current price of $ 18.26  and $ 18.49  at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.86 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Optica Rare has a beta of 0.85 suggesting Optica Rare Earths market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Optica Rare is expected to follow. Additionally Optica Rare Earths has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Optica Rare Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Optica Rare

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Optica Rare Earths. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.3118.2020.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.2218.1120.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.1218.0119.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.9818.2318.47
Details

Optica Rare Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Optica Rare is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Optica Rare's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Optica Rare Earths, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Optica Rare within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0006
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.85
σ
Overall volatility
1.16
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Optica Rare Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Optica Rare for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Optica Rare Earths can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Optica Rare Technical Analysis

Optica Rare's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Optica Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Optica Rare Earths. In general, you should focus on analyzing Optica Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Optica Rare Predictive Forecast Models

Optica Rare's time-series forecasting models is one of many Optica Rare's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Optica Rare's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Optica Rare Earths

Checking the ongoing alerts about Optica Rare for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Optica Rare Earths help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
When determining whether Optica Rare Earths is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Optica Etf is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Optica Rare Earths Etf. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Optica Rare Earths Etf:
The market value of Optica Rare Earths is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Optica that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Optica Rare's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Optica Rare's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Optica Rare's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Optica Rare's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Optica Rare's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Optica Rare is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Optica Rare's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.