Crown Electrokinetics Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 18.82

CRKN Stock  USD 0.66  0.14  17.50%   
Crown Electrokinetics' future price is the expected price of Crown Electrokinetics instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Crown Electrokinetics Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Crown Electrokinetics Backtesting, Crown Electrokinetics Valuation, Crown Electrokinetics Correlation, Crown Electrokinetics Hype Analysis, Crown Electrokinetics Volatility, Crown Electrokinetics History as well as Crown Electrokinetics Performance.
  
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Crown Electrokinetics Target Price Odds to finish over 18.82

The tendency of Crown Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 18.82  or more in 90 days
 0.66 90 days 18.82 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Crown Electrokinetics to move over $ 18.82  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Crown Electrokinetics Corp probability density function shows the probability of Crown Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Crown Electrokinetics price to stay between its current price of $ 0.66  and $ 18.82  at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Crown Electrokinetics has a beta of 0.0367 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Crown Electrokinetics average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Crown Electrokinetics Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Crown Electrokinetics Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Crown Electrokinetics Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Crown Electrokinetics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Crown Electrokinetics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.586.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.163.249.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.736.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.701.061.42
Details

Crown Electrokinetics Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Crown Electrokinetics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Crown Electrokinetics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Crown Electrokinetics Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Crown Electrokinetics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.57
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.26
Ir
Information ratio -0.28

Crown Electrokinetics Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Crown Electrokinetics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Crown Electrokinetics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Crown Electrokinetics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Crown Electrokinetics has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Crown Electrokinetics has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Crown Electrokinetics has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Crown Electrokinetics Corp currently holds 429 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.8, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Crown Electrokinetics has a current ratio of 0.68, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Crown Electrokinetics' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 153 K. Net Loss for the year was (28.98 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (520 K).
Crown Electrokinetics Corp currently holds about 984 K in cash with (16.16 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.06.

Crown Electrokinetics Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Crown Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Crown Electrokinetics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Crown Electrokinetics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding171.6 K

Crown Electrokinetics Technical Analysis

Crown Electrokinetics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Crown Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Crown Electrokinetics Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Crown Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Crown Electrokinetics Predictive Forecast Models

Crown Electrokinetics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Crown Electrokinetics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Crown Electrokinetics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Crown Electrokinetics

Checking the ongoing alerts about Crown Electrokinetics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Crown Electrokinetics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Crown Electrokinetics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Crown Electrokinetics has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Crown Electrokinetics has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Crown Electrokinetics has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Crown Electrokinetics Corp currently holds 429 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.8, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Crown Electrokinetics has a current ratio of 0.68, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Crown Electrokinetics' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 153 K. Net Loss for the year was (28.98 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (520 K).
Crown Electrokinetics Corp currently holds about 984 K in cash with (16.16 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.06.
When determining whether Crown Electrokinetics offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Crown Electrokinetics' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Crown Electrokinetics Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Crown Electrokinetics Corp Stock:
Is Diversified Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Crown Electrokinetics. If investors know Crown will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Crown Electrokinetics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Crown Electrokinetics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Crown that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Crown Electrokinetics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Crown Electrokinetics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Crown Electrokinetics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Crown Electrokinetics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Crown Electrokinetics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Crown Electrokinetics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Crown Electrokinetics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.