Critical Metals Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.23
| CRML Stock | 6.20 0.34 5.80% |
Critical |
Critical Metals Target Price Odds to finish over 10.23
The tendency of Critical Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 10.23 or more in 90 days |
| 6.20 | 90 days | 10.23 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Critical Metals to move over 10.23 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Critical Metals Corp probability density function shows the probability of Critical Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Critical Metals Corp price to stay between its current price of 6.20 and 10.23 at the end of the 90-day period is about 83.53 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.76 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Critical Metals will likely underperform. Additionally Critical Metals Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Critical Metals Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Critical Metals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Critical Metals Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Critical Metals Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Critical Metals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Critical Metals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Critical Metals Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Critical Metals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.91 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.76 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.81 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Critical Metals Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Critical Metals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Critical Metals Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Critical Metals Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Critical Metals Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Net Loss for the year was (147.49 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Critical Metals generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Critical Metals Corp has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 83.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: 2 Stocks to Buy as China Tightens Its Grip on Critical Minerals - Yahoo Finance |
Critical Metals Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Critical Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Critical Metals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Critical Metals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 81 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.3 M |
Critical Metals Technical Analysis
Critical Metals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Critical Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Critical Metals Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Critical Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Critical Metals Predictive Forecast Models
Critical Metals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Critical Metals' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Critical Metals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Critical Metals Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Critical Metals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Critical Metals Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Critical Metals Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Critical Metals Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Net Loss for the year was (147.49 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Critical Metals generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Critical Metals Corp has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 83.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: 2 Stocks to Buy as China Tightens Its Grip on Critical Minerals - Yahoo Finance |
Check out Critical Metals Backtesting, Critical Metals Valuation, Critical Metals Correlation, Critical Metals Hype Analysis, Critical Metals Volatility, Critical Metals History as well as Critical Metals Performance. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is Diversified Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Critical Metals. If investors know Critical will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Critical Metals listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.08) | Return On Assets (0.01) | Return On Equity (0.21) |
The market value of Critical Metals Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Critical that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Critical Metals' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Critical Metals' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Critical Metals' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Critical Metals' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Critical Metals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Critical Metals is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Critical Metals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.