Crown Lifters (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 249.88

CROWN Stock   227.16  4.45  2.00%   
Crown Lifters' future price is the expected price of Crown Lifters instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Crown Lifters Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Crown Lifters Backtesting, Crown Lifters Valuation, Crown Lifters Correlation, Crown Lifters Hype Analysis, Crown Lifters Volatility, Crown Lifters History as well as Crown Lifters Performance.
  
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Crown Lifters Target Price Odds to finish over 249.88

The tendency of Crown Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  249.88  or more in 90 days
 227.16 90 days 249.88 
about 40.31
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Crown Lifters to move over  249.88  or more in 90 days from now is about 40.31 (This Crown Lifters Limited probability density function shows the probability of Crown Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Crown Lifters Limited price to stay between its current price of  227.16  and  249.88  at the end of the 90-day period is about 48.8 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Crown Lifters Limited has a beta of -0.52 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Crown Lifters are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Crown Lifters Limited is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Crown Lifters Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Crown Lifters Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Crown Lifters

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Crown Lifters Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
222.96226.10229.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
196.53199.67249.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
206.67209.81212.95
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
214.79229.57244.35
Details

Crown Lifters Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Crown Lifters is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Crown Lifters' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Crown Lifters Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Crown Lifters within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.52
σ
Overall volatility
15.37
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Crown Lifters Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Crown Lifters for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Crown Lifters Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Crown Lifters generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Crown Lifters has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Latest headline from news.google.com: Share Market Highlights 14 November 2024 Sensex and Nifty lose momentum, trading lower market uncertainty persists - BusinessLine

Crown Lifters Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Crown Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Crown Lifters' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Crown Lifters' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments192.7 M

Crown Lifters Technical Analysis

Crown Lifters' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Crown Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Crown Lifters Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Crown Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Crown Lifters Predictive Forecast Models

Crown Lifters' time-series forecasting models is one of many Crown Lifters' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Crown Lifters' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Crown Lifters Limited

Checking the ongoing alerts about Crown Lifters for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Crown Lifters Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Crown Lifters generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Crown Lifters has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Latest headline from news.google.com: Share Market Highlights 14 November 2024 Sensex and Nifty lose momentum, trading lower market uncertainty persists - BusinessLine

Other Information on Investing in Crown Stock

Crown Lifters financial ratios help investors to determine whether Crown Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Crown with respect to the benefits of owning Crown Lifters security.