Crombie Real Estate Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 12.86
| CRR-UN Stock | CAD 14.38 0.06 0.42% |
Crombie |
Crombie Real Target Price Odds to finish below 12.86
The tendency of Crombie Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to C$ 12.86 or more in 90 days |
| 14.38 | 90 days | 12.86 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Crombie Real to drop to C$ 12.86 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Crombie Real Estate probability density function shows the probability of Crombie Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Crombie Real Estate price to stay between C$ 12.86 and its current price of C$14.38 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.69 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Crombie Real Estate has a beta of -0.0163 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Crombie Real are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Crombie Real Estate is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Crombie Real Estate has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Crombie Real Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Crombie Real
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Crombie Real Estate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Crombie Real's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Crombie Real Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Crombie Real is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Crombie Real's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Crombie Real Estate, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Crombie Real within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.50 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Crombie Real Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Crombie Real for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Crombie Real Estate can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Crombie Real Estate generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Crombie Real Estate has accumulated 2.19 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.55, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Crombie Real Estate has a current ratio of 0.12, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Crombie Real until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Crombie Real's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Crombie Real Estate sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Crombie to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Crombie Real's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 444.37 M. Net Loss for the year was (59.28 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 279.8 M. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Crombie Real Estate Investment Trust Receives Average Rating of Moderate Buy from Analysts - MarketBeat |
Crombie Real Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Crombie Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Crombie Real's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Crombie Real's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 179.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.2 M |
Crombie Real Technical Analysis
Crombie Real's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Crombie Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Crombie Real Estate. In general, you should focus on analyzing Crombie Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Crombie Real Predictive Forecast Models
Crombie Real's time-series forecasting models is one of many Crombie Real's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Crombie Real's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Crombie Real Estate
Checking the ongoing alerts about Crombie Real for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Crombie Real Estate help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Crombie Real Estate generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Crombie Real Estate has accumulated 2.19 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.55, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Crombie Real Estate has a current ratio of 0.12, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Crombie Real until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Crombie Real's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Crombie Real Estate sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Crombie to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Crombie Real's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 444.37 M. Net Loss for the year was (59.28 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 279.8 M. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Crombie Real Estate Investment Trust Receives Average Rating of Moderate Buy from Analysts - MarketBeat |
Other Information on Investing in Crombie Stock
Crombie Real financial ratios help investors to determine whether Crombie Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Crombie with respect to the benefits of owning Crombie Real security.