Crispr Therapeutics Ag Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 31.06

CRSP Stock  USD 51.17  0.33  0.65%   
Crispr Therapeutics' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Crispr Therapeutics AG. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Crispr Therapeutics based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Crispr Therapeutics AG over a specific time period. For example, CRSP Option Call 06-12-2024 51 is a CALL option contract on Crispr Therapeutics' common stock with a strick price of 51.0 expiring on 2024-12-06. The contract was last traded on 2024-11-29 at 12:54:23 for $1.59 and, as of today, has 5 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.45, and an ask price of $1.7. The implied volatility as of the 1st of December is 5.0. View All Crispr options

Closest to current price Crispr long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Crispr Therapeutics' future price is the expected price of Crispr Therapeutics instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Crispr Therapeutics AG performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Crispr Therapeutics Backtesting, Crispr Therapeutics Valuation, Crispr Therapeutics Correlation, Crispr Therapeutics Hype Analysis, Crispr Therapeutics Volatility, Crispr Therapeutics History as well as Crispr Therapeutics Performance.
  
At this time, Crispr Therapeutics' Price Book Value Ratio is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 12/01/2024, Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to grow to 0.44, though Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is likely to grow to (18.09). Please specify Crispr Therapeutics' target price for which you would like Crispr Therapeutics odds to be computed.

Crispr Therapeutics Target Price Odds to finish below 31.06

The tendency of Crispr Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 31.06  or more in 90 days
 51.17 90 days 31.06 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Crispr Therapeutics to drop to $ 31.06  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Crispr Therapeutics AG probability density function shows the probability of Crispr Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Crispr Therapeutics price to stay between $ 31.06  and its current price of $51.17 at the end of the 90-day period is under 95 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.54 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Crispr Therapeutics will likely underperform. Additionally Crispr Therapeutics AG has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Crispr Therapeutics Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Crispr Therapeutics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Crispr Therapeutics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Crispr Therapeutics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
48.1050.9353.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
46.0560.2263.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
50.6753.5056.34
Details
29 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
80.2088.1397.82
Details

Crispr Therapeutics Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Crispr Therapeutics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Crispr Therapeutics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Crispr Therapeutics AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Crispr Therapeutics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.54
σ
Overall volatility
2.13
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Crispr Therapeutics Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Crispr Therapeutics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Crispr Therapeutics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 371.21 M. Net Loss for the year was (153.61 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (570.7 M).
Crispr Therapeutics AG currently holds about 2.07 B in cash with (260.38 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 26.48.
Crispr Therapeutics has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 72.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: SevenBridge Financial Group LLC Grows Stake in CRISPR Therapeutics AG

Crispr Therapeutics Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Crispr Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Crispr Therapeutics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Crispr Therapeutics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding79.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.7 B

Crispr Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Crispr Therapeutics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Crispr Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Crispr Therapeutics AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Crispr Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Crispr Therapeutics Predictive Forecast Models

Crispr Therapeutics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Crispr Therapeutics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Crispr Therapeutics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Crispr Therapeutics

Checking the ongoing alerts about Crispr Therapeutics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Crispr Therapeutics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 371.21 M. Net Loss for the year was (153.61 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (570.7 M).
Crispr Therapeutics AG currently holds about 2.07 B in cash with (260.38 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 26.48.
Crispr Therapeutics has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 72.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: SevenBridge Financial Group LLC Grows Stake in CRISPR Therapeutics AG

Additional Tools for Crispr Stock Analysis

When running Crispr Therapeutics' price analysis, check to measure Crispr Therapeutics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Crispr Therapeutics is operating at the current time. Most of Crispr Therapeutics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Crispr Therapeutics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Crispr Therapeutics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Crispr Therapeutics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.