Cirrus Logic Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 139.83
| CRUS Stock | USD 104.45 1.07 1.01% |
Cirrus |
Cirrus Logic Target Price Odds to finish over 139.83
The tendency of Cirrus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 139.83 or more in 90 days |
| 104.45 | 90 days | 139.83 | nearly 4.97 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cirrus Logic to move over $ 139.83 or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.97 (This Cirrus Logic probability density function shows the probability of Cirrus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cirrus Logic price to stay between its current price of $ 104.45 and $ 139.83 at the end of the 90-day period is about 84.24 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.19 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Cirrus Logic will likely underperform. Additionally Cirrus Logic has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Cirrus Logic Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Cirrus Logic
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cirrus Logic. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cirrus Logic's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Cirrus Logic Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cirrus Logic is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cirrus Logic's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cirrus Logic, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cirrus Logic within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.58 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 12.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.24 |
Cirrus Logic Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cirrus Logic for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cirrus Logic can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Cirrus Logic generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Cirrus Logic Inc Trading 4.1 percent Higher on Nov 25 |
Cirrus Logic Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cirrus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cirrus Logic's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cirrus Logic's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 56 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 526.5 M |
Cirrus Logic Technical Analysis
Cirrus Logic's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cirrus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cirrus Logic. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cirrus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cirrus Logic Predictive Forecast Models
Cirrus Logic's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cirrus Logic's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cirrus Logic's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Cirrus Logic
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cirrus Logic for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cirrus Logic help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Cirrus Logic generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Cirrus Logic Inc Trading 4.1 percent Higher on Nov 25 |
Additional Tools for Cirrus Stock Analysis
When running Cirrus Logic's price analysis, check to measure Cirrus Logic's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cirrus Logic is operating at the current time. Most of Cirrus Logic's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cirrus Logic's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cirrus Logic's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cirrus Logic to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.