CoinShares International (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 25.73
| CS Stock | SEK 89.30 4.00 4.69% |
CoinShares |
CoinShares International Target Price Odds to finish below 25.73
The tendency of CoinShares Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to kr 25.73 or more in 90 days |
| 89.30 | 90 days | 25.73 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CoinShares International to drop to kr 25.73 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This CoinShares International probability density function shows the probability of CoinShares Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CoinShares International price to stay between kr 25.73 and its current price of kr89.3 at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.99 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon CoinShares International has a beta of -0.27 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding CoinShares International are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, CoinShares International is likely to outperform the market. Additionally CoinShares International has an alpha of 0.7737, implying that it can generate a 0.77 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). CoinShares International Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for CoinShares International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CoinShares International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CoinShares International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
CoinShares International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CoinShares International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CoinShares International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CoinShares International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CoinShares International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.77 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 13.88 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
CoinShares International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CoinShares International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CoinShares International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| CoinShares International appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 80.75 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.41 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 80.75 M. | |
| CoinShares International has accumulated about 1.75 B in cash with (1.76 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 26.66. | |
| Roughly 81.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
CoinShares International Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CoinShares Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CoinShares International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CoinShares International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 69.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1 B |
CoinShares International Technical Analysis
CoinShares International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CoinShares Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CoinShares International. In general, you should focus on analyzing CoinShares Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CoinShares International Predictive Forecast Models
CoinShares International's time-series forecasting models is one of many CoinShares International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CoinShares International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CoinShares International
Checking the ongoing alerts about CoinShares International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CoinShares International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| CoinShares International appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 80.75 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.41 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 80.75 M. | |
| CoinShares International has accumulated about 1.75 B in cash with (1.76 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 26.66. | |
| Roughly 81.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for CoinShares Stock Analysis
When running CoinShares International's price analysis, check to measure CoinShares International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CoinShares International is operating at the current time. Most of CoinShares International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CoinShares International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CoinShares International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CoinShares International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.