Cosan Sa Adr Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.7
| CSAN Stock | USD 6.61 0.71 9.70% |
Cosan |
Cosan SA Target Price Odds to finish over 10.7
The tendency of Cosan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 10.70 or more in 90 days |
| 6.61 | 90 days | 10.70 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cosan SA to move over $ 10.70 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Cosan SA ADR probability density function shows the probability of Cosan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cosan SA ADR price to stay between its current price of $ 6.61 and $ 10.70 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Cosan SA has a beta of 0.45 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Cosan SA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cosan SA ADR will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cosan SA ADR has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Cosan SA Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Cosan SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cosan SA ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cosan SA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cosan SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cosan SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cosan SA ADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cosan SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.63 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.45 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.78 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.26 |
Cosan SA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cosan SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cosan SA ADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Cosan SA ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Cosan Trading Up 5.4 percent Whats Next |
Cosan SA Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cosan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cosan SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cosan SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.9 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 18.1 B |
Cosan SA Technical Analysis
Cosan SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cosan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cosan SA ADR. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cosan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cosan SA Predictive Forecast Models
Cosan SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cosan SA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cosan SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Cosan SA ADR
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cosan SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cosan SA ADR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Cosan SA ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Cosan Trading Up 5.4 percent Whats Next |
Check out Cosan SA Backtesting, Cosan SA Valuation, Cosan SA Correlation, Cosan SA Hype Analysis, Cosan SA Volatility, Cosan SA History as well as Cosan SA Performance. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Is Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cosan SA. If investors know Cosan will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cosan SA listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.389 | Dividend Share 0.451 | Earnings Share 0.97 | Revenue Per Share 86.48 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.064 |
The market value of Cosan SA ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cosan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cosan SA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cosan SA's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cosan SA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cosan SA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cosan SA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cosan SA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cosan SA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.