Mainstay Cushing Mlp Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 12.91

CSHZX Fund  USD 13.21  0.11  0.84%   
Mainstay Cushing's future price is the expected price of Mainstay Cushing instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Mainstay Cushing Mlp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Mainstay Cushing Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Mainstay Cushing Correlation, Mainstay Cushing Hype Analysis, Mainstay Cushing Volatility, Mainstay Cushing History as well as Mainstay Cushing Performance.
  
Please specify Mainstay Cushing's target price for which you would like Mainstay Cushing odds to be computed.

Mainstay Cushing Target Price Odds to finish below 12.91

The tendency of Mainstay Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 12.91  or more in 90 days
 13.21 90 days 12.91 
roughly 96.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mainstay Cushing to drop to $ 12.91  or more in 90 days from now is roughly 96.0 (This Mainstay Cushing Mlp probability density function shows the probability of Mainstay Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mainstay Cushing Mlp price to stay between $ 12.91  and its current price of $13.21 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.44 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Mainstay Cushing has a beta of 0.45 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Mainstay Cushing average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Mainstay Cushing Mlp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Mainstay Cushing Mlp has an alpha of 0.2292, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Mainstay Cushing Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mainstay Cushing

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mainstay Cushing Mlp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.3213.2114.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.1714.0614.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.2013.1013.99
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.7313.0513.38
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mainstay Cushing. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mainstay Cushing's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mainstay Cushing's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mainstay Cushing Mlp.

Mainstay Cushing Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mainstay Cushing is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mainstay Cushing's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mainstay Cushing Mlp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mainstay Cushing within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.45
σ
Overall volatility
0.68
Ir
Information ratio 0.18

Mainstay Cushing Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mainstay Cushing for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mainstay Cushing Mlp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 97.13% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Mainstay Cushing Technical Analysis

Mainstay Cushing's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mainstay Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mainstay Cushing Mlp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mainstay Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Mainstay Cushing Predictive Forecast Models

Mainstay Cushing's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mainstay Cushing's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mainstay Cushing's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Mainstay Cushing Mlp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mainstay Cushing for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mainstay Cushing Mlp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 97.13% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Mainstay Mutual Fund

Mainstay Cushing financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mainstay Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mainstay with respect to the benefits of owning Mainstay Cushing security.
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