PT Cahayasakti (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 50.02
| CSIS Stock | IDR 53.00 2.00 3.92% |
CSIS |
PT Cahayasakti Target Price Odds to finish below 50.02
The tendency of CSIS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 50.02 or more in 90 days |
| 53.00 | 90 days | 50.02 | about 38.51 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PT Cahayasakti to drop to 50.02 or more in 90 days from now is about 38.51 (This PT Cahayasakti Investindo probability density function shows the probability of CSIS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PT Cahayasakti Investindo price to stay between 50.02 and its current price of 53.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 40.7 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PT Cahayasakti has a beta of 0.79 suggesting as returns on the market go up, PT Cahayasakti average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding PT Cahayasakti Investindo will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally PT Cahayasakti Investindo has an alpha of 0.1568, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). PT Cahayasakti Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for PT Cahayasakti
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PT Cahayasakti Investindo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.PT Cahayasakti Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PT Cahayasakti is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PT Cahayasakti's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PT Cahayasakti Investindo, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PT Cahayasakti within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.79 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.69 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
PT Cahayasakti Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PT Cahayasakti for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PT Cahayasakti Investindo can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| PT Cahayasakti Investindo has accumulated 15.84 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 24.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. PT Cahayasakti Investindo has a current ratio of 0.43, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist PT Cahayasakti until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, PT Cahayasakti's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like PT Cahayasakti Investindo sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for CSIS to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about PT Cahayasakti's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
PT Cahayasakti Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CSIS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PT Cahayasakti's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PT Cahayasakti's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.4 B |
PT Cahayasakti Technical Analysis
PT Cahayasakti's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CSIS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PT Cahayasakti Investindo. In general, you should focus on analyzing CSIS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
PT Cahayasakti Predictive Forecast Models
PT Cahayasakti's time-series forecasting models is one of many PT Cahayasakti's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PT Cahayasakti's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about PT Cahayasakti Investindo
Checking the ongoing alerts about PT Cahayasakti for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PT Cahayasakti Investindo help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| PT Cahayasakti Investindo has accumulated 15.84 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 24.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. PT Cahayasakti Investindo has a current ratio of 0.43, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist PT Cahayasakti until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, PT Cahayasakti's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like PT Cahayasakti Investindo sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for CSIS to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about PT Cahayasakti's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Other Information on Investing in CSIS Stock
PT Cahayasakti financial ratios help investors to determine whether CSIS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CSIS with respect to the benefits of owning PT Cahayasakti security.