Castellan Targeted Equity Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 75.61

CTEF Etf   75.61  0.51  0.68%   
Castellan Targeted's future price is the expected price of Castellan Targeted instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Castellan Targeted Equity performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Castellan Targeted Analysis, Portfolio Optimization, Castellan Targeted Correlation, Castellan Targeted Hype Analysis, Castellan Targeted Volatility, Castellan Targeted Price History as well as Castellan Targeted Performance.
Please specify Castellan Targeted's target price for which you would like Castellan Targeted odds to be computed.

Castellan Targeted Target Price Odds to finish over 75.61

The tendency of Castellan Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 75.61 90 days 75.61 
about 1.3
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Castellan Targeted to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.3 (This Castellan Targeted Equity probability density function shows the probability of Castellan Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the etf has the beta coefficient of 1.05 suggesting Castellan Targeted Equity market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Castellan Targeted is expected to follow. Additionally Castellan Targeted Equity has an alpha of 0.1619, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Castellan Targeted Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Castellan Targeted

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Castellan Targeted Equity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Castellan Targeted's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
74.2275.6177.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
68.0578.9980.38
Details

Castellan Targeted Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Castellan Targeted is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Castellan Targeted's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Castellan Targeted Equity, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Castellan Targeted within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.05
σ
Overall volatility
3.25
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Castellan Targeted Technical Analysis

Castellan Targeted's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Castellan Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Castellan Targeted Equity. In general, you should focus on analyzing Castellan Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Castellan Targeted Predictive Forecast Models

Castellan Targeted's time-series forecasting models is one of many Castellan Targeted's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Castellan Targeted's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Castellan Targeted in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Castellan Targeted's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Castellan Targeted options trading.
When determining whether Castellan Targeted Equity is a strong investment it is important to analyze Castellan Targeted's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Castellan Targeted's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Castellan Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Investors evaluate Castellan Targeted Equity using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Castellan Targeted's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Castellan Targeted's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Castellan Targeted's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Castellan Targeted should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Castellan Targeted's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.