Charles Colvard Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.49
| CTHR Stock | USD 1.29 0.02 1.53% |
Charles |
Charles Colvard Target Price Odds to finish over 5.49
The tendency of Charles Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 5.49 or more in 90 days |
| 1.29 | 90 days | 5.49 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Charles Colvard to move over $ 5.49 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Charles Colvard probability density function shows the probability of Charles Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Charles Colvard price to stay between its current price of $ 1.29 and $ 5.49 at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.44 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Charles Colvard has a beta of 0.84 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Charles Colvard average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Charles Colvard will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Charles Colvard has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Charles Colvard Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Charles Colvard
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Charles Colvard. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Charles Colvard Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Charles Colvard is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Charles Colvard's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Charles Colvard, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Charles Colvard within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.31 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.84 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Charles Colvard Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Charles Colvard for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Charles Colvard can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Charles Colvard generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Charles Colvard may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Charles Colvard has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Charles Colvard has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 29.95 M. Net Loss for the year was (19.58 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 10.74 M. | |
| Charles Colvard currently holds about 15.67 M in cash with (3.88 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.51. | |
| Charles Colvard has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 36.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Sykes Ollin B of 19000 shares of Charles Colvard at 0.3699 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Charles Colvard Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Charles Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Charles Colvard's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Charles Colvard's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 30.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 10.4 M |
Charles Colvard Technical Analysis
Charles Colvard's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Charles Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Charles Colvard. In general, you should focus on analyzing Charles Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Charles Colvard Predictive Forecast Models
Charles Colvard's time-series forecasting models is one of many Charles Colvard's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Charles Colvard's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Charles Colvard
Checking the ongoing alerts about Charles Colvard for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Charles Colvard help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Charles Colvard generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Charles Colvard may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Charles Colvard has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Charles Colvard has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 29.95 M. Net Loss for the year was (19.58 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 10.74 M. | |
| Charles Colvard currently holds about 15.67 M in cash with (3.88 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.51. | |
| Charles Colvard has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 36.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Sykes Ollin B of 19000 shares of Charles Colvard at 0.3699 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Additional Tools for Charles Stock Analysis
When running Charles Colvard's price analysis, check to measure Charles Colvard's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Charles Colvard is operating at the current time. Most of Charles Colvard's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Charles Colvard's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Charles Colvard's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Charles Colvard to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.