Cto Realty Growth Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 23.42

CTO-PA Preferred Stock  USD 23.70  0.17  0.72%   
CTO Realty's future price is the expected price of CTO Realty instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CTO Realty Growth performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out CTO Realty Backtesting, CTO Realty Valuation, CTO Realty Correlation, CTO Realty Hype Analysis, CTO Realty Volatility, CTO Realty History as well as CTO Realty Performance.
  
Please specify CTO Realty's target price for which you would like CTO Realty odds to be computed.

CTO Realty Target Price Odds to finish below 23.42

The tendency of CTO Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 23.42  or more in 90 days
 23.70 90 days 23.42 
about 36.94
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CTO Realty to drop to $ 23.42  or more in 90 days from now is about 36.94 (This CTO Realty Growth probability density function shows the probability of CTO Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CTO Realty Growth price to stay between $ 23.42  and its current price of $23.7 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.87 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CTO Realty has a beta of 0.14 suggesting as returns on the market go up, CTO Realty average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CTO Realty Growth will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CTO Realty Growth has an alpha of 0.0555, implying that it can generate a 0.0555 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   CTO Realty Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CTO Realty

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CTO Realty Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.3123.7025.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.1219.5126.07
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
22.0623.4524.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
23.4823.6423.80
Details

CTO Realty Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CTO Realty is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CTO Realty's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CTO Realty Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CTO Realty within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.14
σ
Overall volatility
0.74
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

CTO Realty Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CTO Realty for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CTO Realty Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CTO Realty Growth has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years

CTO Realty Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CTO Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CTO Realty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CTO Realty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding18.5 B
Cash And Short Term Investments61.4 M

CTO Realty Technical Analysis

CTO Realty's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CTO Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CTO Realty Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing CTO Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CTO Realty Predictive Forecast Models

CTO Realty's time-series forecasting models is one of many CTO Realty's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CTO Realty's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about CTO Realty Growth

Checking the ongoing alerts about CTO Realty for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CTO Realty Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CTO Realty Growth has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years

Other Information on Investing in CTO Preferred Stock

CTO Realty financial ratios help investors to determine whether CTO Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CTO with respect to the benefits of owning CTO Realty security.