Calamos Timpani Smid Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 14.63

CTOGX Fund  USD 16.36  0.16  0.97%   
Calamos Timpani's future price is the expected price of Calamos Timpani instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Calamos Timpani Smid performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Calamos Timpani Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Calamos Timpani Correlation, Calamos Timpani Hype Analysis, Calamos Timpani Volatility, Calamos Timpani History as well as Calamos Timpani Performance.
  
Please specify Calamos Timpani's target price for which you would like Calamos Timpani odds to be computed.

Calamos Timpani Target Price Odds to finish below 14.63

The tendency of Calamos Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 14.63  or more in 90 days
 16.36 90 days 14.63 
about 35.73
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Calamos Timpani to drop to $ 14.63  or more in 90 days from now is about 35.73 (This Calamos Timpani Smid probability density function shows the probability of Calamos Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Calamos Timpani Smid price to stay between $ 14.63  and its current price of $16.36 at the end of the 90-day period is about 50.37 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.45 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Calamos Timpani will likely underperform. Additionally Calamos Timpani Smid has an alpha of 0.1752, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Calamos Timpani Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Calamos Timpani

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Calamos Timpani Smid. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.9016.3617.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.1417.6019.06
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.4515.9017.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.6915.8217.96
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Calamos Timpani. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Calamos Timpani's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Calamos Timpani's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Calamos Timpani Smid.

Calamos Timpani Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Calamos Timpani is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Calamos Timpani's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Calamos Timpani Smid, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Calamos Timpani within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.45
σ
Overall volatility
1.19
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Calamos Timpani Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Calamos Timpani for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Calamos Timpani Smid can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 99.07% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Calamos Timpani Technical Analysis

Calamos Timpani's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Calamos Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Calamos Timpani Smid. In general, you should focus on analyzing Calamos Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Calamos Timpani Predictive Forecast Models

Calamos Timpani's time-series forecasting models is one of many Calamos Timpani's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Calamos Timpani's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Calamos Timpani Smid

Checking the ongoing alerts about Calamos Timpani for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Calamos Timpani Smid help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 99.07% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Calamos Mutual Fund

Calamos Timpani financial ratios help investors to determine whether Calamos Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Calamos with respect to the benefits of owning Calamos Timpani security.
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