CTT Correios (Portugal) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.40
| CTT Stock | EUR 4.45 0.02 0.45% |
CTT |
CTT Correios Target Price Odds to finish below 3.40
The tendency of CTT Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 3.40 or more in 90 days |
| 4.45 | 90 days | 3.40 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CTT Correios to drop to € 3.40 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This CTT Correios de probability density function shows the probability of CTT Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CTT Correios de price to stay between € 3.40 and its current price of €4.45 at the end of the 90-day period is about 78.92 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CTT Correios has a beta of 0.18 suggesting as returns on the market go up, CTT Correios average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CTT Correios de will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CTT Correios de has an alpha of 0.0047, implying that it can generate a 0.004684 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). CTT Correios Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CTT Correios
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CTT Correios de. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CTT Correios Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CTT Correios is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CTT Correios' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CTT Correios de, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CTT Correios within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.1 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
CTT Correios Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CTT Correios for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CTT Correios de can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 29.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
CTT Correios Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CTT Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CTT Correios' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CTT Correios' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 150 M |
CTT Correios Technical Analysis
CTT Correios' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CTT Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CTT Correios de. In general, you should focus on analyzing CTT Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CTT Correios Predictive Forecast Models
CTT Correios' time-series forecasting models is one of many CTT Correios' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CTT Correios' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CTT Correios de
Checking the ongoing alerts about CTT Correios for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CTT Correios de help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 29.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for CTT Stock Analysis
When running CTT Correios' price analysis, check to measure CTT Correios' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CTT Correios is operating at the current time. Most of CTT Correios' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CTT Correios' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CTT Correios' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CTT Correios to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.