Ampol Limited Chance of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 20.65
| CTXAFDelisted Stock | USD 20.65 0.00 0.00% |
Ampol |
Ampol Target Price Odds to finish over 20.65
The tendency of Ampol Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 20.65 | 90 days | 20.65 | about 77.07 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ampol to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 77.07 (This Ampol Limited probability density function shows the probability of Ampol Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Ampol Limited has a beta of -0.42 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Ampol are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Ampol Limited is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Ampol Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Ampol Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ampol
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ampol Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ampol Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ampol is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ampol's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ampol Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ampol within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.42 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.70 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Ampol Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ampol for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ampol Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ampol Limited is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Ampol Limited has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| About 57.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Ampol Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ampol Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ampol's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ampol's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 238.3 M |
Ampol Technical Analysis
Ampol's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ampol Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ampol Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ampol Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ampol Predictive Forecast Models
Ampol's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ampol's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ampol's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ampol Limited
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ampol for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ampol Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ampol Limited is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Ampol Limited has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| About 57.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation. You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Other Consideration for investing in Ampol Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Ampol Limited check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Ampol's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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