Customers Bancorp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 46.44
| CUBI Stock | USD 56.84 0.27 0.48% |
Customers |
Customers Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish below 46.44
The tendency of Customers Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 46.44 or more in 90 days |
| 56.84 | 90 days | 46.44 | about 25.62 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Customers Bancorp to drop to $ 46.44 or more in 90 days from now is about 25.62 (This Customers Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Customers Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Customers Bancorp price to stay between $ 46.44 and its current price of $56.84 at the end of the 90-day period is about 71.64 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 3.1 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Customers Bancorp will likely underperform. Additionally Customers Bancorp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Customers Bancorp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Customers Bancorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Customers Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Customers Bancorp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Customers Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Customers Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Customers Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Customers Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 3.10 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Customers Bancorp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Customers Bancorp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Customers Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Customers Bancorp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Over 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: CUSTOMERS BANCORP, INC. ANNOUNCEMENT If You Have Suffered Losses in Customers Bancorp, Inc. ... |
Customers Bancorp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Customers Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Customers Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Customers Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 32.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.8 B |
Customers Bancorp Technical Analysis
Customers Bancorp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Customers Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Customers Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Customers Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Customers Bancorp Predictive Forecast Models
Customers Bancorp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Customers Bancorp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Customers Bancorp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Customers Bancorp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Customers Bancorp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Customers Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Customers Bancorp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Over 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: CUSTOMERS BANCORP, INC. ANNOUNCEMENT If You Have Suffered Losses in Customers Bancorp, Inc. ... |
Check out Customers Bancorp Backtesting, Customers Bancorp Valuation, Customers Bancorp Correlation, Customers Bancorp Hype Analysis, Customers Bancorp Volatility, Customers Bancorp History as well as Customers Bancorp Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Customers Stock please use our How to Invest in Customers Bancorp guide.You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Customers Bancorp. If investors know Customers will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Customers Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.49) | Earnings Share 6.16 | Revenue Per Share 21.346 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.25) | Return On Assets 0.01 |
The market value of Customers Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Customers that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Customers Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Customers Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Customers Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Customers Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Customers Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Customers Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Customers Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.