CUE Energy (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.35

CUE Stock   0.09  0.01  5.88%   
CUE Energy's future price is the expected price of CUE Energy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CUE Energy Resources performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out CUE Energy Backtesting, CUE Energy Valuation, CUE Energy Correlation, CUE Energy Hype Analysis, CUE Energy Volatility, CUE Energy History as well as CUE Energy Performance.
  
Please specify CUE Energy's target price for which you would like CUE Energy odds to be computed.

CUE Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 5.35

The tendency of CUE Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  5.35  or more in 90 days
 0.09 90 days 5.35 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CUE Energy to move over  5.35  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This CUE Energy Resources probability density function shows the probability of CUE Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CUE Energy Resources price to stay between its current price of  0.09  and  5.35  at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.92 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CUE Energy has a beta of 0.84 suggesting as returns on the market go up, CUE Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CUE Energy Resources will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CUE Energy Resources has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   CUE Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CUE Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CUE Energy Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.095.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.085.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.095.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.080.090.10
Details

CUE Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CUE Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CUE Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CUE Energy Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CUE Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.84
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

CUE Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CUE Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CUE Energy Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CUE Energy Resources generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
CUE Energy Resources has high historical volatility and very poor performance
CUE Energy Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
CUE Energy Resources is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 57.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Cue Energy Updates Securities Trading Policy - TipRanks

CUE Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CUE Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CUE Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CUE Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding698.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments16.3 M

CUE Energy Technical Analysis

CUE Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CUE Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CUE Energy Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing CUE Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CUE Energy Predictive Forecast Models

CUE Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many CUE Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CUE Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about CUE Energy Resources

Checking the ongoing alerts about CUE Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CUE Energy Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CUE Energy Resources generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
CUE Energy Resources has high historical volatility and very poor performance
CUE Energy Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
CUE Energy Resources is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 57.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Cue Energy Updates Securities Trading Policy - TipRanks

Additional Tools for CUE Stock Analysis

When running CUE Energy's price analysis, check to measure CUE Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CUE Energy is operating at the current time. Most of CUE Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CUE Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CUE Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CUE Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.