Aberdeen Global Unconstrained Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 8.53

CUGAX Fund  USD 8.62  0.01  0.12%   
Aberdeen Global's future price is the expected price of Aberdeen Global instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Aberdeen Global Unconstrained performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Aberdeen Global Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Aberdeen Global Correlation, Aberdeen Global Hype Analysis, Aberdeen Global Volatility, Aberdeen Global History as well as Aberdeen Global Performance.
  
Please specify Aberdeen Global's target price for which you would like Aberdeen Global odds to be computed.

Aberdeen Global Target Price Odds to finish over 8.53

The tendency of Aberdeen Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 8.53  in 90 days
 8.62 90 days 8.53 
about 92.67
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aberdeen Global to stay above $ 8.53  in 90 days from now is about 92.67 (This Aberdeen Global Unconstrained probability density function shows the probability of Aberdeen Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aberdeen Global Unco price to stay between $ 8.53  and its current price of $8.62 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.87 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Aberdeen Global Unconstrained has a beta of -0.0219 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Aberdeen Global are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Aberdeen Global Unconstrained is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Aberdeen Global Unconstrained has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Aberdeen Global Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Aberdeen Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aberdeen Global Unco. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.418.628.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.328.538.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.428.648.85
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.568.588.60
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Aberdeen Global. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Aberdeen Global's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Aberdeen Global's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Aberdeen Global Unco.

Aberdeen Global Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aberdeen Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aberdeen Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aberdeen Global Unconstrained, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aberdeen Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.002
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.55

Aberdeen Global Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aberdeen Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aberdeen Global Unco can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Aberdeen Global Unco generated five year return of -1.0%
This fund holds about 62.24% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Aberdeen Global Technical Analysis

Aberdeen Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aberdeen Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aberdeen Global Unconstrained. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aberdeen Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Aberdeen Global Predictive Forecast Models

Aberdeen Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aberdeen Global's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aberdeen Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Aberdeen Global Unco

Checking the ongoing alerts about Aberdeen Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aberdeen Global Unco help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Aberdeen Global Unco generated five year return of -1.0%
This fund holds about 62.24% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in Aberdeen Mutual Fund

Aberdeen Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aberdeen Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aberdeen with respect to the benefits of owning Aberdeen Global security.
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