Cornish Metals (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 8.21

CUSN Stock   8.50  0.20  2.30%   
Cornish Metals' future price is the expected price of Cornish Metals instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Cornish Metals performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Cornish Metals Backtesting, Cornish Metals Valuation, Cornish Metals Correlation, Cornish Metals Hype Analysis, Cornish Metals Volatility, Cornish Metals History as well as Cornish Metals Performance.
  
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Cornish Metals Target Price Odds to finish over 8.21

The tendency of Cornish Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  8.21  in 90 days
 8.50 90 days 8.21 
about 22.13
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cornish Metals to stay above  8.21  in 90 days from now is about 22.13 (This Cornish Metals probability density function shows the probability of Cornish Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cornish Metals price to stay between  8.21  and its current price of 8.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.69 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cornish Metals has a beta of 0.11 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Cornish Metals average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cornish Metals will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cornish Metals has an alpha of 0.3143, implying that it can generate a 0.31 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Cornish Metals Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cornish Metals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cornish Metals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.198.7112.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.037.5511.07
Details

Cornish Metals Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cornish Metals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cornish Metals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cornish Metals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cornish Metals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.31
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.11
σ
Overall volatility
0.99
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Cornish Metals Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cornish Metals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cornish Metals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cornish Metals had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Cornish Metals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (2.96 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Cornish Metals generates negative cash flow from operations
About 33.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Cornish Metals Produces a Near Mine Exploration Target at South Crofty - Markets Insider

Cornish Metals Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cornish Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cornish Metals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cornish Metals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding535.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments28.5 M

Cornish Metals Technical Analysis

Cornish Metals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cornish Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cornish Metals. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cornish Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Cornish Metals Predictive Forecast Models

Cornish Metals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Cornish Metals' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cornish Metals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Cornish Metals

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cornish Metals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cornish Metals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cornish Metals had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Cornish Metals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (2.96 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Cornish Metals generates negative cash flow from operations
About 33.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Cornish Metals Produces a Near Mine Exploration Target at South Crofty - Markets Insider

Additional Tools for Cornish Stock Analysis

When running Cornish Metals' price analysis, check to measure Cornish Metals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cornish Metals is operating at the current time. Most of Cornish Metals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cornish Metals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cornish Metals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cornish Metals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.