Columbia Sportswear (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 74.42
| CUW Stock | EUR 77.00 1.50 1.99% |
Columbia |
Columbia Sportswear Target Price Odds to finish below 74.42
The tendency of Columbia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 74.42 or more in 90 days |
| 77.00 | 90 days | 74.42 | about 61.41 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Columbia Sportswear to drop to € 74.42 or more in 90 days from now is about 61.41 (This Columbia Sportswear probability density function shows the probability of Columbia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Columbia Sportswear price to stay between € 74.42 and its current price of €77.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.71 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Columbia Sportswear has a beta of -0.11 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Columbia Sportswear are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Columbia Sportswear is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Columbia Sportswear has an alpha of 0.1214, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Columbia Sportswear Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Columbia Sportswear
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Columbia Sportswear. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Columbia Sportswear Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Columbia Sportswear is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Columbia Sportswear's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Columbia Sportswear, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Columbia Sportswear within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.41 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Columbia Sportswear Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Columbia Sportswear for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Columbia Sportswear can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Columbia Sportswear has accumulated about 524.35 M in cash with (25.24 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 7.76. | |
| Roughly 48.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Columbia Sportswear Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Columbia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Columbia Sportswear's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Columbia Sportswear's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 62.1 M |
Columbia Sportswear Technical Analysis
Columbia Sportswear's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Columbia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Columbia Sportswear. In general, you should focus on analyzing Columbia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Columbia Sportswear Predictive Forecast Models
Columbia Sportswear's time-series forecasting models is one of many Columbia Sportswear's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Columbia Sportswear's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Columbia Sportswear
Checking the ongoing alerts about Columbia Sportswear for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Columbia Sportswear help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Columbia Sportswear has accumulated about 524.35 M in cash with (25.24 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 7.76. | |
| Roughly 48.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Columbia Stock
When determining whether Columbia Sportswear is a strong investment it is important to analyze Columbia Sportswear's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Columbia Sportswear's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Columbia Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Columbia Sportswear Backtesting, Columbia Sportswear Valuation, Columbia Sportswear Correlation, Columbia Sportswear Hype Analysis, Columbia Sportswear Volatility, Columbia Sportswear History as well as Columbia Sportswear Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Columbia Stock please use our How to Invest in Columbia Sportswear guide.You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.