Curevac Nv Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.97
| CVAC Stock | USD 2.87 0.13 4.74% |
Closest to current price CureVac long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
CureVac |
CureVac NV Target Price Odds to finish below 2.97
The tendency of CureVac Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 2.97 after 90 days |
| 2.87 | 90 days | 2.97 | about 61.07 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CureVac NV to stay under $ 2.97 after 90 days from now is about 61.07 (This CureVac NV probability density function shows the probability of CureVac Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CureVac NV price to stay between its current price of $ 2.87 and $ 2.97 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.8 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.12 suggesting CureVac NV market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, CureVac NV is expected to follow. Additionally CureVac NV has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. CureVac NV Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for CureVac NV
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CureVac NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CureVac NV Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CureVac NV is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CureVac NV's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CureVac NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CureVac NV within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.29 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
CureVac NV Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CureVac NV for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CureVac NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| CureVac NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| CureVac NV has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 53.76 M. Net Loss for the year was (260.17 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (91.55 M). | |
| CureVac NV currently holds about 540.87 M in cash with (267.89 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.85. | |
| CureVac NV has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Analysts Are Optimistic Well See A Profit From CureVac N.V. |
CureVac NV Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CureVac Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CureVac NV's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CureVac NV's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 220.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 405.1 M |
CureVac NV Technical Analysis
CureVac NV's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CureVac Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CureVac NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing CureVac Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CureVac NV Predictive Forecast Models
CureVac NV's time-series forecasting models is one of many CureVac NV's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CureVac NV's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CureVac NV
Checking the ongoing alerts about CureVac NV for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CureVac NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| CureVac NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| CureVac NV has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 53.76 M. Net Loss for the year was (260.17 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (91.55 M). | |
| CureVac NV currently holds about 540.87 M in cash with (267.89 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.85. | |
| CureVac NV has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Analysts Are Optimistic Well See A Profit From CureVac N.V. |
Check out CureVac NV Backtesting, CureVac NV Valuation, CureVac NV Correlation, CureVac NV Hype Analysis, CureVac NV Volatility, CureVac NV History as well as CureVac NV Performance. For information on how to trade CureVac Stock refer to our How to Trade CureVac Stock guide.You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CureVac NV. If investors know CureVac will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CureVac NV listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share 0.49 | Revenue Per Share 0.294 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.905 | Return On Assets (0.25) | Return On Equity (0.54) |
The market value of CureVac NV is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CureVac that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CureVac NV's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CureVac NV's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CureVac NV's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CureVac NV's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CureVac NV's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CureVac NV is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CureVac NV's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.