Carnival Plc (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 21.47
| CVC1 Stock | EUR 24.00 0.13 0.54% |
Carnival |
Carnival Plc Target Price Odds to finish below 21.47
The tendency of Carnival Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 21.47 or more in 90 days |
| 24.00 | 90 days | 21.47 | about 84.53 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Carnival Plc to drop to € 21.47 or more in 90 days from now is about 84.53 (This Carnival plc probability density function shows the probability of Carnival Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Carnival plc price to stay between € 21.47 and its current price of €24.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.12 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.56 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Carnival Plc will likely underperform. Additionally Carnival plc has an alpha of 0.6118, implying that it can generate a 0.61 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Carnival Plc Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Carnival Plc
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Carnival plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Carnival Plc Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Carnival Plc is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Carnival Plc's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Carnival plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Carnival Plc within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.61 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.56 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.26 |
Carnival Plc Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Carnival Plc for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Carnival plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Carnival plc has accumulated 31.95 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 46.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Carnival plc has a current ratio of 0.26, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Carnival Plc until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Carnival Plc's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Carnival plc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Carnival to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Carnival Plc's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 12.17 B. Net Loss for the year was (6.09 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.81 B. | |
| Carnival plc has accumulated about 1.2 B in cash with (1.67 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.74. |
Carnival Plc Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Carnival Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Carnival Plc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Carnival Plc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.3 B |
Carnival Plc Technical Analysis
Carnival Plc's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Carnival Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Carnival plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Carnival Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Carnival Plc Predictive Forecast Models
Carnival Plc's time-series forecasting models is one of many Carnival Plc's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Carnival Plc's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Carnival plc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Carnival Plc for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Carnival plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Carnival plc has accumulated 31.95 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 46.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Carnival plc has a current ratio of 0.26, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Carnival Plc until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Carnival Plc's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Carnival plc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Carnival to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Carnival Plc's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 12.17 B. Net Loss for the year was (6.09 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.81 B. | |
| Carnival plc has accumulated about 1.2 B in cash with (1.67 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.74. |
Other Information on Investing in Carnival Stock
Carnival Plc financial ratios help investors to determine whether Carnival Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Carnival with respect to the benefits of owning Carnival Plc security.