CVC Brasil (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.95
| CVCB3 Stock | BRL 2.53 0.13 5.42% |
CVC |
CVC Brasil Target Price Odds to finish below 2.95
The tendency of CVC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under R$ 2.95 after 90 days |
| 2.53 | 90 days | 2.95 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CVC Brasil to stay under R$ 2.95 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This CVC Brasil Operadora probability density function shows the probability of CVC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CVC Brasil Operadora price to stay between its current price of R$ 2.53 and R$ 2.95 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CVC Brasil has a beta of 0.3 suggesting as returns on the market go up, CVC Brasil average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CVC Brasil Operadora will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CVC Brasil Operadora has an alpha of 0.2809, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). CVC Brasil Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CVC Brasil
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CVC Brasil Operadora. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CVC Brasil Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CVC Brasil is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CVC Brasil's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CVC Brasil Operadora, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CVC Brasil within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.30 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
CVC Brasil Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CVC Brasil for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CVC Brasil Operadora can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| CVC Brasil Operadora had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| CVC Brasil Operadora has accumulated 799.14 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 8.26, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. CVC Brasil Operadora has a current ratio of 0.88, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist CVC Brasil until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, CVC Brasil's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like CVC Brasil Operadora sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for CVC to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about CVC Brasil's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 825.87 M. Net Loss for the year was (476.34 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 825.87 M. | |
| CVC Brasil Operadora has accumulated about 624.74 M in cash with (104.44 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.26, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
CVC Brasil Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CVC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CVC Brasil's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CVC Brasil's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 224.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 986.6 M |
CVC Brasil Technical Analysis
CVC Brasil's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CVC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CVC Brasil Operadora. In general, you should focus on analyzing CVC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CVC Brasil Predictive Forecast Models
CVC Brasil's time-series forecasting models is one of many CVC Brasil's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CVC Brasil's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CVC Brasil Operadora
Checking the ongoing alerts about CVC Brasil for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CVC Brasil Operadora help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| CVC Brasil Operadora had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| CVC Brasil Operadora has accumulated 799.14 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 8.26, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. CVC Brasil Operadora has a current ratio of 0.88, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist CVC Brasil until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, CVC Brasil's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like CVC Brasil Operadora sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for CVC to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about CVC Brasil's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 825.87 M. Net Loss for the year was (476.34 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 825.87 M. | |
| CVC Brasil Operadora has accumulated about 624.74 M in cash with (104.44 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.26, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Additional Tools for CVC Stock Analysis
When running CVC Brasil's price analysis, check to measure CVC Brasil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CVC Brasil is operating at the current time. Most of CVC Brasil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CVC Brasil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CVC Brasil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CVC Brasil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.