Canadian Western Bank Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 41.62

CWB Stock  CAD 58.47  0.68  1.18%   
Canadian Western's future price is the expected price of Canadian Western instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Canadian Western Bank performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Canadian Western Backtesting, Canadian Western Valuation, Canadian Western Correlation, Canadian Western Hype Analysis, Canadian Western Volatility, Canadian Western History as well as Canadian Western Performance.
  
At this time, Canadian Western's Price To Sales Ratio is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 12th of December 2024, Price Earnings Ratio is likely to grow to 13.35, while Price Book Value Ratio is likely to drop 0.72. Please specify Canadian Western's target price for which you would like Canadian Western odds to be computed.

Canadian Western Target Price Odds to finish below 41.62

The tendency of Canadian Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to C$ 41.62  or more in 90 days
 58.47 90 days 41.62 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Canadian Western to drop to C$ 41.62  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Canadian Western Bank probability density function shows the probability of Canadian Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Canadian Western Bank price to stay between C$ 41.62  and its current price of C$58.47 at the end of the 90-day period is about 79.27 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Canadian Western Bank has a beta of -0.0101 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Canadian Western are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Canadian Western Bank is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Canadian Western Bank has an alpha of 0.1561, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Canadian Western Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Canadian Western

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Canadian Western Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
56.1457.4258.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
45.2646.5463.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
54.2555.5356.81
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.770.800.81
Details

Canadian Western Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Canadian Western is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Canadian Western's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Canadian Western Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Canadian Western within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.01
σ
Overall volatility
2.40
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Canadian Western Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Canadian Western for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Canadian Western Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Canadian Western Bank has accumulated about 2.97 B in cash with (541.43 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 34.05.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Canadian Western Bank Announces Dividend Increase - MSN

Canadian Western Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Canadian Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Canadian Western's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Canadian Western's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding96.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments66.5 M

Canadian Western Technical Analysis

Canadian Western's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Canadian Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Canadian Western Bank. In general, you should focus on analyzing Canadian Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Canadian Western Predictive Forecast Models

Canadian Western's time-series forecasting models is one of many Canadian Western's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Canadian Western's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Canadian Western Bank

Checking the ongoing alerts about Canadian Western for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Canadian Western Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Canadian Western Bank has accumulated about 2.97 B in cash with (541.43 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 34.05.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Canadian Western Bank Announces Dividend Increase - MSN

Other Information on Investing in Canadian Stock

Canadian Western financial ratios help investors to determine whether Canadian Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Canadian with respect to the benefits of owning Canadian Western security.