Crew Energy Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 3.73

CWEGFDelisted Stock  USD 5.51  0.11  2.04%   
Crew Energy's future price is the expected price of Crew Energy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Crew Energy performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
  
Please specify Crew Energy's target price for which you would like Crew Energy odds to be computed.

Crew Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 3.73

The tendency of Crew Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 3.73  or more in 90 days
 5.51 90 days 3.73 
about 33.09
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Crew Energy to drop to $ 3.73  or more in 90 days from now is about 33.09 (This Crew Energy probability density function shows the probability of Crew Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Crew Energy price to stay between $ 3.73  and its current price of $5.51 at the end of the 90-day period is about 55.57 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Crew Energy has a beta of 0.012 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Crew Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Crew Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover Crew Energy has an alpha of 1.117, implying that it can generate a 1.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Crew Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Crew Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Crew Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.125.516.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.704.096.06
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.776.167.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.224.356.48
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Crew Energy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Crew Energy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Crew Energy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Crew Energy.

Crew Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Crew Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Crew Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Crew Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Crew Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
1.08
Ir
Information ratio 0.10

Crew Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Crew Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Crew Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Crew Energy is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Crew Energy has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Crew is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days
Crew Energy has accumulated 372.9 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.31, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Crew Energy has a current ratio of 0.77, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Crew Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Crew Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Crew Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Crew to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Crew Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Crew Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Crew Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Crew Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Crew Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding152.5 M

Crew Energy Technical Analysis

Crew Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Crew Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Crew Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Crew Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Crew Energy Predictive Forecast Models

Crew Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Crew Energy's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Crew Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Crew Energy

Checking the ongoing alerts about Crew Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Crew Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Crew Energy is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Crew Energy has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Crew is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days
Crew Energy has accumulated 372.9 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.31, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Crew Energy has a current ratio of 0.77, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Crew Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Crew Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Crew Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Crew to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Crew Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

Other Consideration for investing in Crew Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Crew Energy check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Crew Energy's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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