Ceres Power (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 191.71
| CWR Stock | 170.70 0.90 0.52% |
Ceres |
Ceres Power Target Price Odds to finish below 191.71
The tendency of Ceres Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 191.71 after 90 days |
| 170.70 | 90 days | 191.71 | about 37.19 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ceres Power to stay under 191.71 after 90 days from now is about 37.19 (This Ceres Power Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Ceres Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ceres Power Holdings price to stay between its current price of 170.70 and 191.71 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.21 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ceres Power Holdings has a beta of -0.0594 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Ceres Power are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Ceres Power Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Ceres Power Holdings has an alpha of 0.0127, implying that it can generate a 0.0127 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Ceres Power Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ceres Power
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ceres Power Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ceres Power Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ceres Power is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ceres Power's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ceres Power Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ceres Power within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 40.82 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Ceres Power Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ceres Power for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ceres Power Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ceres Power Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ceres Power Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 22.32 M. Net Loss for the year was (54.01 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 13.05 M. | |
| Ceres Power generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 40.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Ceres Power Phil Caldwell, CEO, sits down with Peel Hunt to discuss Ceres record year and the hydrogen market - Marketscreener.com |
Ceres Power Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ceres Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ceres Power's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ceres Power's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 192.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 140 M |
Ceres Power Technical Analysis
Ceres Power's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ceres Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ceres Power Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ceres Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ceres Power Predictive Forecast Models
Ceres Power's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ceres Power's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ceres Power's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ceres Power Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ceres Power for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ceres Power Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ceres Power Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ceres Power Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 22.32 M. Net Loss for the year was (54.01 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 13.05 M. | |
| Ceres Power generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 40.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Ceres Power Phil Caldwell, CEO, sits down with Peel Hunt to discuss Ceres record year and the hydrogen market - Marketscreener.com |
Other Information on Investing in Ceres Stock
Ceres Power financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ceres Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ceres with respect to the benefits of owning Ceres Power security.