Crown Point Energy Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.04

CWVLF Stock  USD 0.04  0.01  20.00%   
Crown Point's future price is the expected price of Crown Point instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Crown Point Energy performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Crown Point Backtesting, Crown Point Valuation, Crown Point Correlation, Crown Point Hype Analysis, Crown Point Volatility, Crown Point History as well as Crown Point Performance.
  
Please specify Crown Point's target price for which you would like Crown Point odds to be computed.

Crown Point Target Price Odds to finish over 0.04

The tendency of Crown Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.04 90 days 0.04 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Crown Point to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Crown Point Energy probability density function shows the probability of Crown Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Crown Point Energy has a beta of -1.49 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Crown Point Energy are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Crown Point is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Crown Point Energy has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Crown Point Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Crown Point

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Crown Point Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.043.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.043.27
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00080.043.27
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.040.040.04
Details

Crown Point Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Crown Point is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Crown Point's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Crown Point Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Crown Point within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.39
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.49
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.22

Crown Point Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Crown Point for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Crown Point Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Crown Point Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Crown Point Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Crown Point Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Crown Point Energy has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Crown Point Energy has accumulated 3.21 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.39, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Crown Point Energy has a current ratio of 0.69, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Crown Point until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Crown Point's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Crown Point Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Crown to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Crown Point's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 75.0% of Crown Point shares are held by company insiders

Crown Point Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Crown Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Crown Point's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Crown Point's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding72.9 M

Crown Point Technical Analysis

Crown Point's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Crown Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Crown Point Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Crown Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Crown Point Predictive Forecast Models

Crown Point's time-series forecasting models is one of many Crown Point's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Crown Point's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Crown Point Energy

Checking the ongoing alerts about Crown Point for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Crown Point Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Crown Point Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Crown Point Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Crown Point Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Crown Point Energy has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Crown Point Energy has accumulated 3.21 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.39, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Crown Point Energy has a current ratio of 0.69, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Crown Point until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Crown Point's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Crown Point Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Crown to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Crown Point's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 75.0% of Crown Point shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Crown Pink Sheet

Crown Point financial ratios help investors to determine whether Crown Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Crown with respect to the benefits of owning Crown Point security.