Carawine Resources (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.38
| CWX Stock | 0.11 0.01 8.33% |
Carawine |
Carawine Resources Target Price Odds to finish over 3.38
The tendency of Carawine Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 3.38 or more in 90 days |
| 0.11 | 90 days | 3.38 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Carawine Resources to move over 3.38 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Carawine Resources Limited probability density function shows the probability of Carawine Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Carawine Resources price to stay between its current price of 0.11 and 3.38 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.34 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Carawine Resources Limited has a beta of -0.35 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Carawine Resources are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Carawine Resources Limited is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Carawine Resources Limited has an alpha of 0.3702, implying that it can generate a 0.37 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Carawine Resources Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Carawine Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Carawine Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Carawine Resources Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Carawine Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Carawine Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Carawine Resources Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Carawine Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.37 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Carawine Resources Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Carawine Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Carawine Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Carawine Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Carawine Resources had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Carawine Resources has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 152.52 K. Net Loss for the year was (1.12 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 108.05 K. | |
| Carawine Resources generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 93.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Carawine Resources Secures Strong Shareholder Support - TipRanks |
Carawine Resources Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Carawine Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Carawine Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Carawine Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 220.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.7 M |
Carawine Resources Technical Analysis
Carawine Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Carawine Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Carawine Resources Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Carawine Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Carawine Resources Predictive Forecast Models
Carawine Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Carawine Resources' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Carawine Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Carawine Resources
Checking the ongoing alerts about Carawine Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Carawine Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Carawine Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Carawine Resources had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Carawine Resources has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 152.52 K. Net Loss for the year was (1.12 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 108.05 K. | |
| Carawine Resources generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 93.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Carawine Resources Secures Strong Shareholder Support - TipRanks |
Additional Tools for Carawine Stock Analysis
When running Carawine Resources' price analysis, check to measure Carawine Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Carawine Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Carawine Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Carawine Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Carawine Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Carawine Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.