Catalystwarrington Strategic Program Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 9.06
| CWXAX Fund | USD 9.25 0.01 0.11% |
Catalyst/warrington |
Catalyst/warrington Target Price Odds to finish below 9.06
The tendency of Catalyst/warrington Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 9.06 or more in 90 days |
| 9.25 | 90 days | 9.06 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Catalyst/warrington to drop to $ 9.06 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Catalystwarrington Strategic Program probability density function shows the probability of Catalyst/warrington Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Catalyst/warrington price to stay between $ 9.06 and its current price of $9.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.9 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Catalyst/warrington has a beta of 0.0195 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Catalyst/warrington average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Catalystwarrington Strategic Program will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Catalystwarrington Strategic Program has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Catalyst/warrington Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Catalyst/warrington
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Catalyst/warrington. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Catalyst/warrington Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Catalyst/warrington is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Catalyst/warrington's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Catalystwarrington Strategic Program, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Catalyst/warrington within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.009 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -1.25 |
Catalyst/warrington Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Catalyst/warrington for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Catalyst/warrington can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund holds about 98.59% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Catalyst/warrington Technical Analysis
Catalyst/warrington's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Catalyst/warrington Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Catalystwarrington Strategic Program. In general, you should focus on analyzing Catalyst/warrington Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Catalyst/warrington Predictive Forecast Models
Catalyst/warrington's time-series forecasting models is one of many Catalyst/warrington's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Catalyst/warrington's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Catalyst/warrington
Checking the ongoing alerts about Catalyst/warrington for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Catalyst/warrington help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund holds about 98.59% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Catalyst/warrington Mutual Fund
Catalyst/warrington financial ratios help investors to determine whether Catalyst/warrington Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Catalyst/warrington with respect to the benefits of owning Catalyst/warrington security.
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