Mfs High Income Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.88
| CXE Stock | USD 3.78 0.01 0.26% |
MFS |
MFS High Target Price Odds to finish below 3.88
The tendency of MFS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 3.88 after 90 days |
| 3.78 | 90 days | 3.88 | about 62.62 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MFS High to stay under $ 3.88 after 90 days from now is about 62.62 (This MFS High Income probability density function shows the probability of MFS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MFS High Income price to stay between its current price of $ 3.78 and $ 3.88 at the end of the 90-day period is about 54.51 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon MFS High has a beta of 0.2 suggesting as returns on the market go up, MFS High average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding MFS High Income will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally MFS High Income has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. MFS High Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MFS High
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MFS High Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MFS High's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
MFS High Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MFS High is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MFS High's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MFS High Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MFS High within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
MFS High Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MFS High for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MFS High Income can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MFS High Income generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| On 31st of October 2024 MFS High paid $ 0.016 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: MFS High Income Municipal Trust declares 0.016 dividend |
MFS High Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MFS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MFS High's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MFS High's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 227.4 K |
MFS High Technical Analysis
MFS High's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MFS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MFS High Income. In general, you should focus on analyzing MFS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
MFS High Predictive Forecast Models
MFS High's time-series forecasting models is one of many MFS High's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MFS High's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about MFS High Income
Checking the ongoing alerts about MFS High for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MFS High Income help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| MFS High Income generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| On 31st of October 2024 MFS High paid $ 0.016 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: MFS High Income Municipal Trust declares 0.016 dividend |
Check out MFS High Backtesting, MFS High Valuation, MFS High Correlation, MFS High Hype Analysis, MFS High Volatility, MFS High History as well as MFS High Performance. You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MFS High. If investors know MFS will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about MFS High listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.694 | Dividend Share 0.161 | Earnings Share 0.18 | Revenue Per Share 0.32 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) |
The market value of MFS High Income is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MFS that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of MFS High's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is MFS High's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because MFS High's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect MFS High's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between MFS High's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MFS High is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MFS High's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.