Cytodyn Stock Odds of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.11
| CYDY Stock | USD 0.11 0.01 8.33% |
Cytodyn |
Cytodyn Target Price Odds to finish below 0.11
The tendency of Cytodyn OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 0.11 | 90 days | 0.11 | roughly 2.86 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cytodyn to move below current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.86 (This Cytodyn probability density function shows the probability of Cytodyn OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the otc stock has the beta coefficient of 2.76 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Cytodyn will likely underperform. Additionally Cytodyn has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Cytodyn Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Cytodyn
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cytodyn. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cytodyn's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Cytodyn Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cytodyn is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cytodyn's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cytodyn, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cytodyn within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.51 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.76 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Cytodyn Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cytodyn for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cytodyn can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Cytodyn generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Cytodyn has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Cytodyn has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Cytodyn has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Cytodyn currently holds 37.35 M in liabilities. Cytodyn has a current ratio of 0.08, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Cytodyn until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Cytodyn's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Cytodyn sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Cytodyn to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Cytodyn's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 266 K. Net Loss for the year was (210.82 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (73.28 M). | |
| Cytodyn currently holds about 4.68 M in cash with (77.72 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01. |
Cytodyn Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cytodyn OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cytodyn's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cytodyn's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 719.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.2 M |
Cytodyn Technical Analysis
Cytodyn's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cytodyn OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cytodyn. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cytodyn OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cytodyn Predictive Forecast Models
Cytodyn's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cytodyn's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cytodyn's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Cytodyn
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cytodyn for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cytodyn help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Cytodyn generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Cytodyn has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Cytodyn has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Cytodyn has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Cytodyn currently holds 37.35 M in liabilities. Cytodyn has a current ratio of 0.08, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Cytodyn until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Cytodyn's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Cytodyn sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Cytodyn to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Cytodyn's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 266 K. Net Loss for the year was (210.82 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (73.28 M). | |
| Cytodyn currently holds about 4.68 M in cash with (77.72 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01. |
Additional Tools for Cytodyn OTC Stock Analysis
When running Cytodyn's price analysis, check to measure Cytodyn's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cytodyn is operating at the current time. Most of Cytodyn's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cytodyn's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cytodyn's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cytodyn to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.