Themes Natural Monopoly Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 29.51

CZAR Etf   30.15  0.11  0.37%   
Themes Natural's future price is the expected price of Themes Natural instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Themes Natural Monopoly performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Themes Natural Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Themes Natural Correlation, Themes Natural Hype Analysis, Themes Natural Volatility, Themes Natural History as well as Themes Natural Performance.
  
Please specify Themes Natural's target price for which you would like Themes Natural odds to be computed.

Themes Natural Target Price Odds to finish below 29.51

The tendency of Themes Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  29.51  or more in 90 days
 30.15 90 days 29.51 
about 70.22
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Themes Natural to drop to  29.51  or more in 90 days from now is about 70.22 (This Themes Natural Monopoly probability density function shows the probability of Themes Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Themes Natural Monopoly price to stay between  29.51  and its current price of 30.15 at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.54 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Themes Natural has a beta of 0.73 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Themes Natural average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Themes Natural Monopoly will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Themes Natural Monopoly has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Themes Natural Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Themes Natural

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Themes Natural Monopoly. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29.4330.1630.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.1829.9130.64
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
29.4830.2130.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
28.9029.6030.30
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Themes Natural. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Themes Natural's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Themes Natural's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Themes Natural Monopoly.

Themes Natural Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Themes Natural is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Themes Natural's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Themes Natural Monopoly, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Themes Natural within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.73
σ
Overall volatility
0.40
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Themes Natural Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Themes Natural for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Themes Natural Monopoly can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Themes Natural Technical Analysis

Themes Natural's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Themes Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Themes Natural Monopoly. In general, you should focus on analyzing Themes Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Themes Natural Predictive Forecast Models

Themes Natural's time-series forecasting models is one of many Themes Natural's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Themes Natural's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Themes Natural Monopoly

Checking the ongoing alerts about Themes Natural for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Themes Natural Monopoly help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
When determining whether Themes Natural Monopoly is a strong investment it is important to analyze Themes Natural's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Themes Natural's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Themes Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Themes Natural Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Themes Natural Correlation, Themes Natural Hype Analysis, Themes Natural Volatility, Themes Natural History as well as Themes Natural Performance.
You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
The market value of Themes Natural Monopoly is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Themes that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Themes Natural's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Themes Natural's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Themes Natural's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Themes Natural's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Themes Natural's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Themes Natural is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Themes Natural's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.