Colt CZ (Czech Republic) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 612.34
| CZG Stock | CZK 618.00 1.00 0.16% |
Colt |
Colt CZ Target Price Odds to finish over 612.34
The tendency of Colt Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 612.34 in 90 days |
| 618.00 | 90 days | 612.34 | about 89.78 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Colt CZ to stay above 612.34 in 90 days from now is about 89.78 (This Colt CZ Group probability density function shows the probability of Colt Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Colt CZ Group price to stay between 612.34 and its current price of 618.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.89 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Colt CZ has a beta of 0.0456 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Colt CZ average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Colt CZ Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Colt CZ Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Colt CZ Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Colt CZ
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Colt CZ Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Colt CZ Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Colt CZ is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Colt CZ's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Colt CZ Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Colt CZ within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 14.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.21 |
Colt CZ Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Colt CZ for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Colt CZ Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Colt CZ Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Colt CZ Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Colt Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Colt CZ's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Colt CZ's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.0427 | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 25 | |
| Shares Float | 4.5 M |
Colt CZ Technical Analysis
Colt CZ's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Colt Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Colt CZ Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Colt Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Colt CZ Predictive Forecast Models
Colt CZ's time-series forecasting models is one of many Colt CZ's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Colt CZ's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Colt CZ Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Colt CZ for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Colt CZ Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Colt CZ Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Additional Tools for Colt Stock Analysis
When running Colt CZ's price analysis, check to measure Colt CZ's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Colt CZ is operating at the current time. Most of Colt CZ's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Colt CZ's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Colt CZ's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Colt CZ to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.