Dental Public (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 131.03

D Stock  THB 3.18  0.02  0.63%   
Dental Public's future price is the expected price of Dental Public instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Dental Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Dental Public Backtesting, Dental Public Valuation, Dental Public Correlation, Dental Public Hype Analysis, Dental Public Volatility, Dental Public History as well as Dental Public Performance.
  
Please specify Dental Public's target price for which you would like Dental Public odds to be computed.

Dental Public Target Price Odds to finish over 131.03

The tendency of Dental Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  131.03  or more in 90 days
 3.18 90 days 131.03 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dental Public to move over  131.03  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Dental Public probability density function shows the probability of Dental Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dental Public price to stay between its current price of  3.18  and  131.03  at the end of the 90-day period is about 65.54 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Dental Public has a beta of 0.31 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Dental Public average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Dental Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Dental Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Dental Public Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dental Public

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dental Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.163.18321.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.173.33321.33
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.063.12128.95
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.123.183.24
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Dental Public. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Dental Public's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Dental Public's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Dental Public.

Dental Public Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dental Public is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dental Public's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dental Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dental Public within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.31
σ
Overall volatility
0.45
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Dental Public Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dental Public for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dental Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dental Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Dental Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 528.51 M. Net Loss for the year was (24.23 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 136.49 M.
About 73.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Dental Public Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dental Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dental Public's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dental Public's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding288 M

Dental Public Technical Analysis

Dental Public's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dental Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dental Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dental Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Dental Public Predictive Forecast Models

Dental Public's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dental Public's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dental Public's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Dental Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dental Public for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dental Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dental Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Dental Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 528.51 M. Net Loss for the year was (24.23 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 136.49 M.
About 73.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Dental Stock

Dental Public financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dental Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dental with respect to the benefits of owning Dental Public security.