NEL ASA (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.62
| D7GA Stock | EUR 7.20 0.15 2.13% |
NEL |
NEL ASA Target Price Odds to finish below 2.62
The tendency of NEL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 2.62 or more in 90 days |
| 7.20 | 90 days | 2.62 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NEL ASA to drop to € 2.62 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This NEL ASA ADR30 probability density function shows the probability of NEL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NEL ASA ADR30 price to stay between € 2.62 and its current price of €7.2 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon NEL ASA ADR30 has a beta of -0.2 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding NEL ASA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, NEL ASA ADR30 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally NEL ASA ADR30 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. NEL ASA Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for NEL ASA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NEL ASA ADR30. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.NEL ASA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NEL ASA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NEL ASA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NEL ASA ADR30, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NEL ASA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.73 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.64 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
NEL ASA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NEL ASA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NEL ASA ADR30 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| NEL ASA ADR30 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| NEL ASA ADR30 has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| NEL ASA ADR30 has accumulated about 4.07 B in cash with (215.89 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 86.69, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
NEL ASA Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NEL Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NEL ASA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NEL ASA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Float Shares | 46.89M | |
| Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day | 238 | |
| Average Daily Volume In Three Month | 106 |
NEL ASA Technical Analysis
NEL ASA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NEL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NEL ASA ADR30. In general, you should focus on analyzing NEL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
NEL ASA Predictive Forecast Models
NEL ASA's time-series forecasting models is one of many NEL ASA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NEL ASA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about NEL ASA ADR30
Checking the ongoing alerts about NEL ASA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NEL ASA ADR30 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| NEL ASA ADR30 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| NEL ASA ADR30 has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| NEL ASA ADR30 has accumulated about 4.07 B in cash with (215.89 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 86.69, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Other Information on Investing in NEL Stock
NEL ASA financial ratios help investors to determine whether NEL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NEL with respect to the benefits of owning NEL ASA security.