Dagi Giyim (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 17.98

DAGI Stock  TRY 14.98  0.50  3.45%   
Dagi Giyim's future price is the expected price of Dagi Giyim instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Dagi Giyim Sanayi performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Dagi Giyim Backtesting, Dagi Giyim Valuation, Dagi Giyim Correlation, Dagi Giyim Hype Analysis, Dagi Giyim Volatility, Dagi Giyim History as well as Dagi Giyim Performance.
  
Please specify Dagi Giyim's target price for which you would like Dagi Giyim odds to be computed.

Dagi Giyim Target Price Odds to finish over 17.98

The tendency of Dagi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  17.98  or more in 90 days
 14.98 90 days 17.98 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dagi Giyim to move over  17.98  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Dagi Giyim Sanayi probability density function shows the probability of Dagi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dagi Giyim Sanayi price to stay between its current price of  14.98  and  17.98  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.39 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Dagi Giyim Sanayi has a beta of -0.52 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Dagi Giyim are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Dagi Giyim Sanayi is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Dagi Giyim Sanayi has an alpha of 0.5727, implying that it can generate a 0.57 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Dagi Giyim Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dagi Giyim

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dagi Giyim Sanayi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.1714.4817.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.7813.0916.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.1815.4818.79
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.7813.8414.89
Details

Dagi Giyim Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dagi Giyim is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dagi Giyim's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dagi Giyim Sanayi, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dagi Giyim within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.57
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.52
σ
Overall volatility
1.96
Ir
Information ratio 0.10

Dagi Giyim Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dagi Giyim for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dagi Giyim Sanayi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dagi Giyim Sanayi appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 493.03 M. Net Loss for the year was (12.62 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 111.32 M.
Dagi Giyim Sanayi has accumulated about 14.74 M in cash with (64.52 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.17.
Roughly 57.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Dagi Giyim Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dagi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dagi Giyim's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dagi Giyim's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Dagi Giyim Technical Analysis

Dagi Giyim's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dagi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dagi Giyim Sanayi. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dagi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Dagi Giyim Predictive Forecast Models

Dagi Giyim's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dagi Giyim's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dagi Giyim's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Dagi Giyim Sanayi

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dagi Giyim for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dagi Giyim Sanayi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dagi Giyim Sanayi appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 493.03 M. Net Loss for the year was (12.62 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 111.32 M.
Dagi Giyim Sanayi has accumulated about 14.74 M in cash with (64.52 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.17.
Roughly 57.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Dagi Stock Analysis

When running Dagi Giyim's price analysis, check to measure Dagi Giyim's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dagi Giyim is operating at the current time. Most of Dagi Giyim's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dagi Giyim's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dagi Giyim's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dagi Giyim to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.