Danel (Israel) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 39,052

DANE Stock  ILS 40,500  140.00  0.35%   
Danel's future price is the expected price of Danel instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Danel performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Danel Backtesting, Danel Valuation, Danel Correlation, Danel Hype Analysis, Danel Volatility, Danel History as well as Danel Performance.
  
Please specify Danel's target price for which you would like Danel odds to be computed.

Danel Target Price Odds to finish below 39,052

The tendency of Danel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 40,500 90 days 40,500 
about 99.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Danel to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Danel probability density function shows the probability of Danel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Danel has a beta of 0.25 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Danel average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Danel will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Danel has an alpha of 0.3475, implying that it can generate a 0.35 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Danel Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Danel

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Danel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
40,49840,50040,502
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
36,45044,45644,457
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
39,05239,05339,055
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
29,38735,56241,736
Details

Danel Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Danel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Danel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Danel, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Danel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.35
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.25
σ
Overall volatility
3,034
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Danel Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Danel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Danel can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has S46.49 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing

Danel Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Danel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Danel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Danel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.3 M

Danel Technical Analysis

Danel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Danel Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Danel. In general, you should focus on analyzing Danel Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Danel Predictive Forecast Models

Danel's time-series forecasting models is one of many Danel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Danel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Danel

Checking the ongoing alerts about Danel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Danel help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has S46.49 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing

Other Information on Investing in Danel Stock

Danel financial ratios help investors to determine whether Danel Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Danel with respect to the benefits of owning Danel security.