Duta Anggada (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 199.59
| DART Stock | IDR 177.00 1.00 0.56% |
Duta |
Duta Anggada Target Price Odds to finish below 199.59
The tendency of Duta Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 199.59 after 90 days |
| 177.00 | 90 days | 199.59 | about 76.1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Duta Anggada to stay under 199.59 after 90 days from now is about 76.1 (This Duta Anggada Realty probability density function shows the probability of Duta Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Duta Anggada Realty price to stay between its current price of 177.00 and 199.59 at the end of the 90-day period is about 52.19 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Duta Anggada Realty has a beta of -1.64 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Duta Anggada Realty are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Duta Anggada is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Duta Anggada Realty has an alpha of 0.144, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Duta Anggada Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Duta Anggada
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Duta Anggada Realty. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Duta Anggada Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Duta Anggada is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Duta Anggada's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Duta Anggada Realty, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Duta Anggada within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.64 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 15.92 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Duta Anggada Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Duta Anggada for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Duta Anggada Realty can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Duta Anggada Realty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Duta Anggada Realty has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Duta Anggada Realty has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Duta Anggada Realty has accumulated 2.52 T in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 87.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Duta Anggada Realty has a current ratio of 0.41, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Duta Anggada until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Duta Anggada's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Duta Anggada Realty sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Duta to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Duta Anggada's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 290.57 B. Net Loss for the year was (411.22 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 76.32 B. | |
| Duta Anggada Realty has accumulated about 105.94 B in cash with (149.79 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 33.63. | |
| Roughly 92.0% of Duta Anggada shares are held by company insiders |
Duta Anggada Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Duta Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Duta Anggada's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Duta Anggada's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 95.1 B |
Duta Anggada Technical Analysis
Duta Anggada's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Duta Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Duta Anggada Realty. In general, you should focus on analyzing Duta Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Duta Anggada Predictive Forecast Models
Duta Anggada's time-series forecasting models is one of many Duta Anggada's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Duta Anggada's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Duta Anggada Realty
Checking the ongoing alerts about Duta Anggada for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Duta Anggada Realty help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Duta Anggada Realty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Duta Anggada Realty has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Duta Anggada Realty has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Duta Anggada Realty has accumulated 2.52 T in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 87.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Duta Anggada Realty has a current ratio of 0.41, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Duta Anggada until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Duta Anggada's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Duta Anggada Realty sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Duta to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Duta Anggada's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 290.57 B. Net Loss for the year was (411.22 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 76.32 B. | |
| Duta Anggada Realty has accumulated about 105.94 B in cash with (149.79 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 33.63. | |
| Roughly 92.0% of Duta Anggada shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Duta Stock
Duta Anggada financial ratios help investors to determine whether Duta Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Duta with respect to the benefits of owning Duta Anggada security.