Duxton Broadacre (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.06
| DBF Stock | 1.36 0.05 3.55% |
Duxton |
Duxton Broadacre Target Price Odds to finish below 0.06
The tendency of Duxton Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.06 or more in 90 days |
| 1.36 | 90 days | 0.06 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Duxton Broadacre to drop to 0.06 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Duxton Broadacre Farms probability density function shows the probability of Duxton Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Duxton Broadacre Farms price to stay between 0.06 and its current price of 1.36 at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Duxton Broadacre Farms has a beta of -0.3 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Duxton Broadacre are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Duxton Broadacre Farms is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Duxton Broadacre Farms has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Duxton Broadacre Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Duxton Broadacre
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Duxton Broadacre Farms. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Duxton Broadacre Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Duxton Broadacre is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Duxton Broadacre's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Duxton Broadacre Farms, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Duxton Broadacre within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.3 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Duxton Broadacre Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Duxton Broadacre for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Duxton Broadacre Farms can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Duxton Broadacre generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Duxton Broadacre may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Duxton Broadacre has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Duxton Broadacre generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Duxton Broadacre Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Duxton Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Duxton Broadacre's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Duxton Broadacre's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 41.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 28.6 M |
Duxton Broadacre Technical Analysis
Duxton Broadacre's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Duxton Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Duxton Broadacre Farms. In general, you should focus on analyzing Duxton Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Duxton Broadacre Predictive Forecast Models
Duxton Broadacre's time-series forecasting models is one of many Duxton Broadacre's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Duxton Broadacre's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Duxton Broadacre Farms
Checking the ongoing alerts about Duxton Broadacre for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Duxton Broadacre Farms help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Duxton Broadacre generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Duxton Broadacre may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Duxton Broadacre has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Duxton Broadacre generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Duxton Stock Analysis
When running Duxton Broadacre's price analysis, check to measure Duxton Broadacre's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Duxton Broadacre is operating at the current time. Most of Duxton Broadacre's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Duxton Broadacre's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Duxton Broadacre's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Duxton Broadacre to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.