Dreyfus Bond Market Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 9.21
| DBMIX Fund | USD 8.93 0.01 0.11% |
Dreyfus |
Dreyfus Bond Target Price Odds to finish over 9.21
The tendency of Dreyfus Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 9.21 or more in 90 days |
| 8.93 | 90 days | 9.21 | about 11.86 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dreyfus Bond to move over $ 9.21 or more in 90 days from now is about 11.86 (This Dreyfus Bond Market probability density function shows the probability of Dreyfus Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dreyfus Bond Market price to stay between its current price of $ 8.93 and $ 9.21 at the end of the 90-day period is about 79.5 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Dreyfus Bond Market has a beta of -0.0795 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Dreyfus Bond are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Dreyfus Bond Market is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Dreyfus Bond Market has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Dreyfus Bond Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Dreyfus Bond
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dreyfus Bond Market. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Dreyfus Bond Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dreyfus Bond is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dreyfus Bond's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dreyfus Bond Market, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dreyfus Bond within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.54 |
Dreyfus Bond Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dreyfus Bond for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dreyfus Bond Market can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Dreyfus Bond Market generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Dreyfus Bond Market generated five year return of -1.0% | |
| This fund retains about 7.02% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Dreyfus Bond Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dreyfus Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dreyfus Bond's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dreyfus Bond's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dreyfus Bond Technical Analysis
Dreyfus Bond's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dreyfus Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dreyfus Bond Market. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dreyfus Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Dreyfus Bond Predictive Forecast Models
Dreyfus Bond's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dreyfus Bond's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dreyfus Bond's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Dreyfus Bond Market
Checking the ongoing alerts about Dreyfus Bond for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dreyfus Bond Market help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Dreyfus Bond Market generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Dreyfus Bond Market generated five year return of -1.0% | |
| This fund retains about 7.02% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Dreyfus Mutual Fund
Dreyfus Bond financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dreyfus Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dreyfus with respect to the benefits of owning Dreyfus Bond security.
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