Doubleline Selective Credit Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 6.99
| DBSCX Fund | USD 7.46 0.01 0.13% |
Doubleline |
Doubleline Selective Target Price Odds to finish below 6.99
The tendency of Doubleline Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 6.99 or more in 90 days |
| 7.46 | 90 days | 6.99 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Doubleline Selective to drop to $ 6.99 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Doubleline Selective Credit probability density function shows the probability of Doubleline Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Doubleline Selective price to stay between $ 6.99 and its current price of $7.46 at the end of the 90-day period is about 64.52 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Doubleline Selective has a beta of 0.0093 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Doubleline Selective average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Doubleline Selective Credit will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Doubleline Selective Credit has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Doubleline Selective Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Doubleline Selective
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Doubleline Selective. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Doubleline Selective's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Doubleline Selective Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Doubleline Selective is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Doubleline Selective's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Doubleline Selective Credit, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Doubleline Selective within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.69 |
Doubleline Selective Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Doubleline Selective for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Doubleline Selective can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Doubleline Selective generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund retains about 7.55% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Doubleline Selective Technical Analysis
Doubleline Selective's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Doubleline Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Doubleline Selective Credit. In general, you should focus on analyzing Doubleline Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Doubleline Selective Predictive Forecast Models
Doubleline Selective's time-series forecasting models is one of many Doubleline Selective's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Doubleline Selective's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Doubleline Selective
Checking the ongoing alerts about Doubleline Selective for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Doubleline Selective help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Doubleline Selective generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund retains about 7.55% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Doubleline Mutual Fund
Doubleline Selective financial ratios help investors to determine whether Doubleline Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Doubleline with respect to the benefits of owning Doubleline Selective security.
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