Dunham Emerging Markets Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 12.37
| DCEMX Fund | USD 12.37 0.03 0.24% |
Dunham |
Dunham Emerging Target Price Odds to finish over 12.37
The tendency of Dunham Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 12.37 | 90 days | 12.37 | about 91.05 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dunham Emerging to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 91.05 (This Dunham Emerging Markets probability density function shows the probability of Dunham Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Dunham Emerging has a beta of 0.39 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Dunham Emerging average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Dunham Emerging Markets will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Dunham Emerging Markets has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Dunham Emerging Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Dunham Emerging
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dunham Emerging Markets. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Dunham Emerging Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dunham Emerging is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dunham Emerging's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dunham Emerging Markets, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dunham Emerging within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
Dunham Emerging Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dunham Emerging for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dunham Emerging Markets can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Dunham Emerging generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund generated three year return of -7.0% | |
| Dunham Emerging Markets retains 97.31% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Dunham Emerging Technical Analysis
Dunham Emerging's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dunham Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dunham Emerging Markets. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dunham Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Dunham Emerging Predictive Forecast Models
Dunham Emerging's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dunham Emerging's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dunham Emerging's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Dunham Emerging Markets
Checking the ongoing alerts about Dunham Emerging for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dunham Emerging Markets help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Dunham Emerging generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund generated three year return of -7.0% | |
| Dunham Emerging Markets retains 97.31% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Other Information on Investing in Dunham Mutual Fund
Dunham Emerging financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dunham Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dunham with respect to the benefits of owning Dunham Emerging security.
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